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All Games Tuesday, April 9, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
76ers
44%107
99
12
Heat
56%109
122
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
95.2104113.7
MIA logo MIA
117.310495.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
122
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.91 45.4%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
22
34
65%
MIA
24
36
67%
Midrange
PHI
13
39
33%
MIA
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
5
7.5
25
20%
30%
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
Free Throws
PHI
14
16
88%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe1890%9.0 / 10
B. Simmons1662%8.0 / 13
J. Simmons1470%7.0 / 10
B. Marjanovic1267%6.0 / 9
Z. Smith1169%5.5 / 8
S. Milton735%3.5 / 10
T. Harris619%3.0 / 16
A. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
J. Butler440%2.0 / 5
T. McConnell220%1.0 / 5
H. Highsmith233%1.0 / 3
F. Korkmaz233%1.0 / 3
J. Bolden0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3063%15.0 / 24
B. Adebayo1979%9.5 / 12
J. Winslow16114%8.0 / 7
H. Whiteside1594%7.5 / 8
K. Olynyk8133%4.0 / 3
D. Waiters850%4.0 / 8
D. Jones788%3.5 / 4
U. Haslem744%3.5 / 8
G. Dragic627%3.0 / 11
D. Robinson4100%2.0 / 2
J. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
Y. Maten0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
90
+17
-14
107
MIA
90
+9
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.91 45.4%
MIA
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
107.5
PHI 95.2 +22.1
MIA 117.3
Pace
102.2
98.1
PHI 113.7 +17.9
MIA 95.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.0
PHI 12.7 +2.4
MIA 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.2%
51.5%
PHI 43.4%
MIA 60.3% +16.9%
TO %
14.0%
14.3%
PHI 12.5% +0.9%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
24.5%
24.8%
PHI 21.3% +5.0%
MIA 16.3%
FTrt
31.2
24.7
PHI 16.3
MIA 26.4 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.2%
PHI 55.0%
MIA 63.0% +8.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
PHI 10.6% +4.8%
MIA 5.8%
BLK %
8.6%
10.2%
PHI 0.0%
MIA 13.7% +13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
52.9%
PHI 45.4%
MIA 61.6% +16.2%
Rim FG%
63.0%
60.8%
PHI 64.7%
MIA 66.7% +2.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
36.8%
PHI 33.3%
MIA 37.5% +4.2%
3P %
35.9%
34.9%
PHI 20.0%
MIA 48.1% +28.1%
FT %
77.1%
69.5%
PHI 87.5% +13.6%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.3%
PHI 34.7%
MIA 41.4% +6.7%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
25.9%
PHI 39.8%
MIA 27.6% +12.2%
3P Att. %
34.2%
36.8%
PHI 25.5%
MIA 31.0% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points99122
Rebounds4644
Assists2229
Steals116
Blocks010
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (1)
Fouls1918
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)37 (3)
Field Goals40-9846-87
At-the-Rim FG22-3424-36
Midrange FG13-399-24
2-Point FG35-7333-60
3-Point FG5-2513-27
Free Throws14-1617-23
Fast Break Pts1812
2nd Chance Pts1810
Points in Paint6454
Pts off Turnovers1619
Bench Points6243
Biggest Lead635

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 Philadelphia 76ers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Zhaire Smith
#8 · SG · 6'4" 199 · 20
29.6
11
69%
2
2
0
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Ben Simmons
#25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 23
21.1
16
62%
4
1
2
0
4
3
2
2
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
#33 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 27
20.4
6
19%
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-6
0%
Jimmy Butler
#23 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 30
16.0
4
40%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Jonah Bolden
#43 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23
12.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Jonathon Simmons
#14 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 30
26.4
14
70%
2
8
3
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
T.J. McConnell
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27
22.7
2
20%
2
0
2
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
#51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 31
19.7
12
67%
5
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
#55 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
19.1
18
90%
5
2
0
0
1
3
2
3
6-6
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
#5 · C · 6'9" 240 · 32
18.1
5
36%
7
2
0
0
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
Shake Milton
#18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
16.5
7
35%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
Haywood Highsmith
#7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 22
10.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
#30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22
7.5
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Joel Embiid
#21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Load Management - Left Knee Soreness
James Ennis III
#11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Quad Contusion
Mike Scott
#1 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Tightness
JJ Redick
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back Tightness-Left Quad Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
45%
46
22
11
0
14
19
10
36
14-16
88%
35-73
48%
5-25
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.