FinalWin Prob.pScore
2429%102
93
1071%110
100
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
101.19293.2
DET logo DET
108.79290.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
100
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.13 56.7%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
20
28
71%
DET
16
33
48%
Midrange
MEM
3
17
18%
DET
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
DET
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
Free Throws
MEM
17
21
81%
DET
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright1554%7.5 / 14
B. Caboclo1568%7.5 / 11
T. Zeller1372%6.5 / 9
T. Dorsey1250%6.0 / 12
C. Parsons964%4.5 / 7
I. Rabb975%4.5 / 6
J. Carter9113%4.5 / 4
J. Holiday850%4.0 / 8
J. Washburn3-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Smith2265%11.0 / 17
A. Drummond2063%10.0 / 16
L. Kennard1583%7.5 / 9
R. Jackson1240%6.0 / 15
B. Brown880%4.0 / 5
W. Ellington727%3.5 / 13
L. Galloway739%3.5 / 9
B. Griffin550%2.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia330%1.5 / 5
G. Robinson III117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
71
+11
-21
82
DET
83
+19
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.13 56.7%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
109.0
MEM 101.1
DET 108.7 +7.6
Pace
96.6
97.3
MEM 93.2 +2.3
DET 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.2
MEM 15.5 +0.4
DET 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.8%
MEM 55.1% +9.6%
DET 45.5%
TO %
13.5%
13.2%
MEM 21.9%
DET 8.2% +13.7%
ORB %
20.1%
24.9%
MEM 21.2%
DET 28.0% +6.8%
FTrt
27.2
26.1
MEM 30.4
DET 31.8 +1.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
57.9%
MEM 57.6% +11.9%
DET 45.7%
STL %
8.5%
7.1%
MEM 4.3%
DET 14.1% +9.8%
BLK %
10.7%
7.1%
MEM 11.1% +2.2%
DET 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
53.0%
MEM 56.7% +7.7%
DET 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.9%
57.5%
MEM 71.4% +22.9%
DET 48.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.4%
MEM 17.6%
DET 42.9% +25.3%
3P %
34.2%
34.8%
MEM 41.7% +12.3%
DET 29.4%
FT %
77.2%
74.7%
MEM 81.0% +9.6%
DET 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
36.7%
MEM 40.6% +3.1%
DET 37.5%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
23.9%
MEM 24.6%
DET 23.9% +0.8%
3P Att. %
34.2%
39.4%
MEM 34.8%
DET 38.6% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMDET
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points93100
Rebounds4340
Assists1916
Steals413
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)9 (0)
Fouls2421
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)26 (0)
Field Goals33-6935-88
At-the-Rim FG20-2816-33
Midrange FG3-179-21
2-Point FG23-4525-54
3-Point FG10-2410-34
Free Throws17-2120-28
Fast Break Pts1419
2nd Chance Pts1515
Points in Paint4038
Pts off Turnovers721
Bench Points3048
Biggest Lead227

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
37.3
15
54%
9
2
1
0
3
1
1
8
7-8
88%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 30
35.7
8
50%
4
2
1
2
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
#22 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
32.0
12
50%
4
3
0
0
4
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
#5 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 24
26.6
15
68%
3
2
1
2
1
5
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
#45 · C · 7'0" 250 · 29
19.4
13
72%
6
3
0
2
3
6
1
5
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
29.5
9
64%
2
3
0
0
5
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
28.6
9
75%
10
2
1
0
3
5
2
8
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24
18.6
9
113%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
#4 · SF · 6'8" 209 · 27
12.3
3
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Soreness
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
#6 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Injury
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Deep Thigh Bruise
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Soreness
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#0 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shin Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
57%
43
19
4
6
21
24
7
36
17-21
81%
23-45
51%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.