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All Games Sunday, April 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Nuggets
35%110
108
8
Blazers
65%116
115
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
104.9103112.4
POR logo POR
111.710395.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 50.9%
POR
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
37
57%
POR
25
47
53%
Midrange
DEN
8
25
32%
POR
7
14
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
POR
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
DEN
11
20
55%
POR
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris1869%9.0 / 13
T. Lyles1568%7.5 / 11
M. Beasley1554%7.5 / 14
T. Craig1381%6.5 / 8
M. Plumlee1045%5.0 / 11
I. Thomas1036%5.0 / 14
M. Morris950%4.5 / 9
W. Barton945%4.5 / 10
J. Hernangomez758%3.5 / 6
T. Lydon2100%1.0 / 1
J. Vanderbilt0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3071%15.0 / 21
A. Aminu2377%11.5 / 15
E. Kanter1146%5.5 / 12
R. Hood1169%5.5 / 8
S. Curry1169%5.5 / 8
C. McCollum932%4.5 / 14
E. Turner857%4.0 / 7
Z. Collins643%3.0 / 7
M. Harkless4100%2.0 / 2
J. Layman250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
93
+13
-10
106
POR
87
+18
-16
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 50.9%
POR
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
114.2
DEN 104.9
POR 111.7 +6.8
Pace
98.0
99.5
DEN 112.4 +17.3
POR 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.9
DEN 12.8 +2.3
POR 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.8%
DEN 51.1%
POR 51.1%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
DEN 9.6% +4.0%
POR 13.6%
ORB %
26.6%
26.6%
DEN 22.6%
POR 36.2% +13.6%
FTrt
23.2
25.8
DEN 21.1
POR 32.6 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
54.4%
DEN 57.1% +3.4%
POR 53.7%
STL %
7.9%
6.6%
DEN 8.7% +3.8%
POR 4.9%
BLK %
8.2%
8.3%
DEN 6.6%
POR 8.1% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.6%
DEN 50.9%
POR 55.3% +4.4%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.0%
DEN 56.8% +3.6%
POR 53.2%
Mid FG%
43.3%
42.5%
DEN 32.0%
POR 50.0% +18.0%
3P %
35.1%
35.9%
DEN 39.4% +7.3%
POR 32.1%
FT %
75.5%
81.4%
DEN 55.0%
POR 82.8% +27.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
39.1%
DEN 38.9%
POR 52.8% +13.9%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
27.0%
DEN 26.3%
POR 15.7% +10.6%
3P Att. %
34.8%
33.9%
DEN 34.7% +3.3%
POR 31.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENPOR
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points108115
Rebounds4258
Assists2422
Steals95
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls2616
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)41 (3)
Field Goals42-9541-89
At-the-Rim FG21-3725-47
Midrange FG8-257-14
2-Point FG29-6232-61
3-Point FG13-339-28
Free Throws11-2024-29
Fast Break Pts1924
2nd Chance Pts1722
Points in Paint4656
Pts off Turnovers1516
Bench Points4738
Biggest Lead814

BOXSCORE

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20 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · C · 6'10" 254 · 29
31.9
10
45%
11
6
1
3
1
6
3
8
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
27.0
15
68%
9
2
0
0
2
3
3
6
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
24.0
9
50%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
23.8
18
69%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
22.6
9
45%
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
24.2
15
54%
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
23.8
10
36%
0
3
2
0
1
3
0
0
1-4
25%
3-9
33%
1-5
20%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 24
23.6
7
58%
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
#3 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 28
23.2
13
81%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
12.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
4
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
3.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
Inactive - Rest | load management, hip
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
Inactive - Rest | load management, back
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Rest | load mangement, left ankle
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | low back surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
51%
42
24
9
4
10
26
12
30
11-20
55%
29-62
47%
13-33
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.