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All Games Sunday, April 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Spurs
71%117
112
27
Cavaliers
29%109
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
114.398100.6
CLE logo CLE
91.89895.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASCLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
90
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
CLE
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
18
83%
CLE
13
22
59%
Midrange
SAS
19
42
45%
CLE
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
CLE
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
Free Throws
SAS
17
22
77%
CLE
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1860%9.0 / 15
D. DeRozan1458%7.0 / 12
P. Mills1478%7.0 / 9
D. Bertans1488%7.0 / 8
B. Forbes1359%6.5 / 11
J. Poeltl880%4.0 / 5
D. White844%4.0 / 9
R. Gay867%4.0 / 6
L. Walker IV7117%3.5 / 3
Q. Pondexter6100%3.0 / 3
D. Motiejunas250%1.0 / 2
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 3
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Sexton1650%8.0 / 16
B. Knight1657%8.0 / 14
A. Zizic1488%7.0 / 8
C. Osman1246%6.0 / 13
L. Nance1169%5.5 / 8
C. Frye542%2.5 / 6
K. Love563%2.5 / 4
D. Adel5125%2.5 / 2
J. Clarkson213%1.0 / 8
D. Nwaba217%1.0 / 6
M. Chriss225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+13
-18
93
CLE
81
+12
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
CLE
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
107.4
SAS 114.3
CLE 91.8 +22.4
Pace
98.6
96.9
SAS 100.6 +5.0
CLE 95.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
SAS 14.3 +0.8
CLE 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.3%
SAS 57.9% +13.0%
CLE 44.9%
TO %
11.9%
13.0%
SAS 16.4% +0.3%
CLE 16.7%
ORB %
20.9%
23.7%
SAS 30.6% +11.5%
CLE 19.1%
FTrt
23.7
23.6
SAS 26.8
CLE 34.6 +7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
53.2%
SAS 62.8% +11.2%
CLE 51.6%
STL %
6.2%
6.7%
SAS 10.2%
CLE 14.3% +4.1%
BLK %
8.3%
4.3%
SAS 8.2% +6.5%
CLE 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
52.5%
SAS 60.2% +11.8%
CLE 48.4%
Rim FG%
62.7%
57.5%
SAS 83.3% +24.2%
CLE 59.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.5%
SAS 45.2% +8.2%
CLE 37.0%
3P %
39.2%
35.5%
SAS 40.9% +13.3%
CLE 27.6%
FT %
81.8%
79.2%
SAS 77.3% +3.2%
CLE 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
34.5%
SAS 22.0%
CLE 28.2% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
32.2%
SAS 51.2%
CLE 34.6% +16.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
33.2%
SAS 26.8%
CLE 37.2% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASCLE
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points11290
Rebounds4934
Assists2716
Steals1014
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1816
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)25 (3)
Field Goals43-8231-78
At-the-Rim FG15-1813-22
Midrange FG19-4210-27
2-Point FG34-6023-49
3-Point FG9-228-29
Free Throws17-2220-27
Fast Break Pts1910
2nd Chance Pts817
Points in Paint3430
Pts off Turnovers2222
Bench Points5130
Biggest Lead276

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
31.8
14
58%
3
9
1
0
3
2
0
3
6-7
86%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
30.1
13
59%
6
4
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
29.6
18
60%
13
2
1
0
1
1
5
8
6-6
100%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
26.0
8
80%
10
0
2
2
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
21.7
8
44%
4
3
0
2
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
21.1
14
78%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
20.1
14
88%
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
17.1
8
67%
6
1
1
0
6
4
1
5
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
14.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
12.2
7
117%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
#28 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 29
5.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
5.3
6
100%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | NWT
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
49
27
10
4
18
18
11
38
17-22
77%
34-60
57%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.