| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 101.9 | 107 | 95.0 |
 TOR | 109.3 | 107 | 98.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
96
+16
-11
112
TOR
96
+7
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.97 48.7%
TOR
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| OT1 - | End of 1st OT. | 109 0% | 117 100% | |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.97 48.7%
TOR
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
36
50%
TOR
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIA
10
30
33%
TOR
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
TOR
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
14
19
74%
TOR
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 21 | 70% | 10.5 / 15 | |
| J. Johnson | 18 | 75% | 9.0 / 12 | |
| D. Waiters | 17 | 57% | 8.5 / 15 | |
| J. Winslow | 15 | 42% | 7.5 / 18 | |
| H. Whiteside | 14 | 100% | 7.0 / 7 | |
| G. Dragic | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| B. Adebayo | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| K. Olynyk | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| R. McGruder | 2 | 14% | 1.0 / 7 | |
| D. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Siakam | 23 | 115% | 11.5 / 10 | |
| N. Powell | 23 | 144% | 11.5 / 8 | |
| K. Leonard | 22 | 52% | 11.0 / 21 | |
| D. Green | 21 | 75% | 10.5 / 14 | |
| S. Ibaka | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| M. Gasol | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| K. Lowry | 5 | 25% | 2.5 / 10 | |
| F. VanVleet | 3 | 19% | 1.5 / 8 | |
| O. Anunoby | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
96
+16
-11
112
TOR
96
+7
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.97 48.7%
TOR
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 113.1 | MIA 101.9 TOR 109.3 +7.5 |
| Pace | 98.1 100.2 | MIA 95.0 TOR 98.9 +3.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.0 14.4 | MIA 15.2 TOR 14.6 +0.6 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.5% 54.3% | MIA 47.5% TOR 54.0% +6.5% |
| TO % | 14.3% 13.2% | MIA 10.0% TOR 10.0% |
| ORB % | 24.8% 21.8% | MIA 21.8% +13.3% TOR 8.5% |
| FTrt | 24.7 24.7 | MIA 19.0 TOR 31.0 +12.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 61.2% 60.3% | MIA 65.9% TOR 66.7% +0.8% |
| STL % | 7.8% 8.2% | MIA 4.7% TOR 6.5% +1.8% |
| BLK % | 10.2% 9.1% | MIA 4.3% TOR 7.6% +3.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.9% 56.5% | MIA 48.7% TOR 57.4% +8.7% |
| Rim FG% | 60.8% 61.6% | MIA 50.0% TOR 57.7% +7.7% |
| Mid FG% | 36.8% 43.1% | MIA 33.3% TOR 40.0% +6.7% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 36.6% | MIA 38.2% TOR 39.0% +0.8% |
| FT % | 69.5% 80.4% | MIA 73.7% TOR 85.2% +11.5% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.3% 36.4% | MIA 36.0% +6.1% TOR 29.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 25.9% 25.6% | MIA 30.0% TOR 23.0% +7.0% |
| 3P Att. % | 36.8% 37.9% | MIA 34.0% TOR 47.1% +13.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 107 | 107 |
| Possession Minutes | 27.0 | 26.0 |
| Points | 109 | 117 |
| Rebounds | 55 | 47 |
| Assists | 27 | 26 |
| Steals | 5 | 7 |
| Blocks | 2 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (1) | 11 (0) |
| Fouls | 22 | 17 |
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (4) | 4 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 43 (0) | 43 (3) |
| Field Goals | 41-100 | 39-87 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 18-36 | 15-26 |
| Midrange FG | 10-30 | 8-20 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-66 | 23-46 |
| 3-Point FG | 13-34 | 16-41 |
| Free Throws | 14-19 | 23-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | 10 | 16 |
| 2nd Chance Pts | 7 | 6 |
| Points in Paint | 48 | 44 |
| Pts off Turnovers | 14 | 18 |
| Bench Points | 55 | 38 |
| Biggest Lead | 13 | 8 |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.