FinalWin Prob.pScore
1435%111
110
865%116
119
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
115.89590.7
DEN logo DEN
126.69498.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
119
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 56.1%
DEN
1.19 59.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
26
45
58%
DEN
25
33
76%
Midrange
POR
6
12
50%
DEN
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
DEN
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
POR
16
20
80%
DEN
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Kanter2471%12.0 / 17
R. Hood1777%8.5 / 11
E. Turner1575%7.5 / 10
J. Layman1583%7.5 / 9
D. Lillard1439%7.0 / 18
A. Aminu1246%6.0 / 13
M. Harkless964%4.5 / 7
Z. Collins450%2.0 / 4
A. Simons0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2596%12.5 / 13
J. Murray2364%11.5 / 18
N. Jokić2265%11.0 / 17
T. Craig1890%9.0 / 10
M. Beasley975%4.5 / 6
M. Morris880%4.0 / 5
G. Harris627%3.0 / 11
W. Barton429%2.0 / 7
M. Plumlee433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
81
+18
-14
99
DEN
85
+15
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 56.1%
DEN
1.19 59.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.6
POR 115.8
DEN 126.6 +10.8
Pace
99.5
98.0
POR 90.7
DEN 98.7 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.7
POR 15.9
DEN 14.6 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
52.7%
POR 54.7%
DEN 55.4% +0.7%
TO %
13.2%
13.1%
POR 13.7%
DEN 9.4% +4.3%
ORB %
26.6%
26.6%
POR 30.8% +0.8%
DEN 30.0%
FTrt
25.8
23.2
POR 23.3
DEN 34.5 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
65.3%
POR 57.1%
DEN 62.8% +5.7%
STL %
6.6%
7.9%
POR 6.3%
DEN 10.6% +4.3%
BLK %
8.3%
8.2%
POR 3.5%
DEN 7.0% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
54.5%
POR 56.1%
DEN 59.5% +3.4%
Rim FG%
59.0%
59.6%
POR 57.8%
DEN 75.8% +18.0%
Mid FG%
42.5%
43.3%
POR 50.0% +4.2%
DEN 45.8%
3P %
35.9%
35.1%
POR 34.5% +8.6%
DEN 25.9%
FT %
81.4%
75.5%
POR 80.0%
DEN 89.7% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
37.5%
POR 52.3% +13.0%
DEN 39.3%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
27.7%
POR 14.0% +14.6%
DEN 28.6%
3P Att. %
33.9%
34.8%
POR 33.7% +1.6%
DEN 32.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPORDEN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points110119
Rebounds4039
Assists2427
Steals610
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)9 (1)
Fouls2319
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)27 (2)
Field Goals42-8643-84
At-the-Rim FG26-4525-33
Midrange FG6-1211-24
2-Point FG32-5736-57
3-Point FG10-297-27
Free Throws16-2026-29
Fast Break Pts615
2nd Chance Pts716
Points in Paint5858
Pts off Turnovers1319
Bench Points3439
Biggest Lead119

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 29
39.3
14
39%
4
8
0
0
2
3
0
4
8-9
89%
3-8
38%
0-6
0%
#00 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27
38.1
24
71%
7
4
0
0
2
3
5
2
0-0
-
12-17
71%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26
34.3
17
77%
2
1
3
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 29
31.3
12
46%
14
3
2
1
2
0
3
11
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26
29.0
9
64%
5
2
0
0
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
21.3
15
75%
1
3
0
0
2
3
1
0
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
19.1
15
83%
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
15.8
4
50%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#11 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 27
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 20
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#17 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Leg
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
56%
40
24
6
2
14
23
12
28
16-20
80%
32-57
56%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.