FinalWin Prob.pScore
1826%106
98
774%115
119
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
94.2104112.2
UTA logo UTA
114.410496.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
119
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.95 47.6%
UTA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
16
29
55%
UTA
18
28
64%
Midrange
SAC
17
42
40%
UTA
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
UTA
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
Free Throws
SAC
17
25
68%
UTA
16
25
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield1757%8.5 / 15
M. Bagley1333%6.5 / 20
Y. Ferrell1381%6.5 / 8
N. Bjelica1045%5.0 / 11
B. Bogdanović1063%5.0 / 8
F. Mason867%4.0 / 6
H. Barnes750%3.5 / 7
K. Koufos675%3.0 / 4
D. Fox440%2.0 / 5
T. Williams450%2.0 / 4
C. Swanigan467%2.0 / 3
C. Brewer220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2364%11.5 / 18
G. Allen2382%11.5 / 14
R. Gobert1765%8.5 / 13
J. Ingles1765%8.5 / 13
G. Niang8200%4.0 / 2
J. Crowder735%3.5 / 10
E. Udoh788%3.5 / 4
T. Sefolosha650%3.0 / 6
R. Rubio4100%2.0 / 2
T. Cavanaugh3150%1.5 / 1
R. O'Neale233%1.0 / 3
T. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
86
+18
-18
104
UTA
88
+9
-16
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.95 47.6%
UTA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
110.8
SAC 94.2 +20.2
UTA 114.4
Pace
103.5
100.5
SAC 112.2 +15.2
UTA 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.6
SAC 12.8 +2.0
UTA 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
53.8%
SAC 44.0%
UTA 60.6% +16.6%
TO %
12.4%
14.6%
SAC 14.9%
UTA 14.3% +0.6%
ORB %
23.1%
22.9%
SAC 25.0% +7.9%
UTA 17.1%
FTrt
24.4
29.5
SAC 27.2
UTA 29.4 +2.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
64.4%
SAC 44.7%
UTA 68.2% +23.5%
STL %
8.0%
8.0%
SAC 6.7%
UTA 8.7% +2.0%
BLK %
7.9%
9.7%
SAC 1.9%
UTA 8.5% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
55.9%
SAC 47.6%
UTA 60.7% +13.1%
Rim FG%
60.3%
62.1%
SAC 55.2%
UTA 64.3% +9.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.1%
SAC 40.5%
UTA 45.8% +5.3%
3P %
37.8%
35.6%
SAC 23.8%
UTA 45.5% +21.7%
FT %
72.6%
73.6%
SAC 68.0% +4.0%
UTA 64.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
39.5%
SAC 31.5%
UTA 32.9% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
21.1%
SAC 45.7%
UTA 28.2% +17.4%
3P Att. %
32.2%
39.4%
SAC 22.8%
UTA 38.8% +16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACUTA
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points98119
Rebounds4746
Assists1730
Steals79
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)16 (0)
Fouls2326
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)39 (0)
Field Goals38-9244-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2918-28
Midrange FG17-4211-24
2-Point FG33-7129-52
3-Point FG5-2115-33
Free Throws17-2516-25
Fast Break Pts58
2nd Chance Pts1410
Points in Paint4852
Pts off Turnovers1125
Bench Points4751
Biggest Lead030

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 20
30.1
13
33%
12
2
0
1
5
2
4
8
5-9
56%
4-16
25%
0-0
-
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
27.2
7
50%
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
26.2
17
57%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
3-7
43%
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
25.4
10
45%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
7.9
4
40%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
36.0
13
81%
1
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
5-5
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 27
24.8
10
63%
3
4
0
0
3
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#33 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 33
18.5
2
20%
5
2
3
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
12.1
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
12.0
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
10.9
4
67%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
8.8
8
67%
3
0
0
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left thigh contusion
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Inactive - Personal
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
48%
47
17
7
1
18
23
13
34
17-25
68%
33-71
46%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.