FinalWin Prob.pScore
2444%104
122
2356%106
112
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
124.598103.5
DAL logo DAL
113.19994.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.122
100%
112
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.16 58.1%
DAL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
26
38
68%
DAL
14
24
58%
Midrange
MEM
4
17
24%
DAL
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
DAL
17
25.5
47
36%
54%
Free Throws
MEM
14
16
88%
DAL
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright2665%13.0 / 20
J. Holiday2077%10.0 / 13
T. Dorsey1757%8.5 / 15
I. Rabb1246%6.0 / 13
C. Parsons1179%5.5 / 7
J. Carter1050%5.0 / 10
T. Zeller1063%5.0 / 8
B. Caboclo956%4.5 / 8
J. Washburn563%2.5 / 4
Y. Watanabe2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Lee2175%10.5 / 14
J. Jackson1959%9.5 / 16
T. Burke1381%6.5 / 8
D. Nowitzki1255%6.0 / 11
S. Mejri1250%6.0 / 12
D. Macon1169%5.5 / 8
R. Broekhoff964%4.5 / 7
M. Kleber630%3.0 / 10
D. Finney-Smith650%3.0 / 6
D. Harris319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
88
+16
-10
104
DAL
90
+16
-9
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.16 58.1%
DAL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
109.2
MEM 124.5 +11.4
DAL 113.1
Pace
96.6
99.1
MEM 103.5 +9.6
DAL 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.8
MEM 13.9 +1.4
DAL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.8%
MEM 56.3% +4.7%
DAL 51.6%
TO %
13.5%
13.6%
MEM 8.8%
DAL 7.9% +0.9%
ORB %
20.1%
22.6%
MEM 27.9% +5.5%
DAL 22.4%
FTrt
27.2
29.1
MEM 16.7
DAL 21.9 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
60.3%
MEM 65.2%
DAL 68.3% +3.1%
STL %
8.5%
6.5%
MEM 7.1% +3.1%
DAL 4.0%
BLK %
10.7%
7.6%
MEM 4.1%
DAL 7.3% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.2%
MEM 58.1% +5.3%
DAL 52.8%
Rim FG%
59.9%
62.0%
MEM 68.4% +10.1%
DAL 58.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.0%
MEM 23.5%
DAL 40.0% +16.5%
3P %
34.2%
34.0%
MEM 39.0% +2.8%
DAL 36.2%
FT %
77.2%
74.2%
MEM 87.5% +25.6%
DAL 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
33.8%
MEM 39.6% +14.6%
DAL 25.0%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
24.0%
MEM 17.7% +8.3%
DAL 26.0%
3P Att. %
34.2%
42.2%
MEM 42.7%
DAL 49.0% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points122112
Rebounds5042
Assists3028
Steals74
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (0)
Fouls1613
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (4)31 (3)
Field Goals46-9641-96
At-the-Rim FG26-3814-24
Midrange FG4-1710-25
2-Point FG30-5524-49
3-Point FG16-4117-47
Free Throws14-1613-21
Fast Break Pts335
2nd Chance Pts2012
Points in Paint5832
Pts off Turnovers138
Bench Points3841
Biggest Lead229

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
39.0
26
65%
10
14
2
0
0
1
1
9
4-5
80%
8-13
62%
2-6
33%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 30
32.4
20
77%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
#10 · C · 6'10" 220 · 22
30.1
12
46%
8
2
0
0
0
2
5
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
#5 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 24
29.2
9
56%
6
4
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
#22 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
26.1
17
57%
9
1
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
1-7
14%
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24
22.3
10
50%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
19.9
11
79%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
#45 · C · 7'0" 250 · 29
17.9
10
63%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#4 · SF · 6'8" 209 · 27
16.8
5
63%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
6.4
2
100%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Soreness
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Soreness
#0 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shin Contusion
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Deep Thigh Bruise
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#6 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
58%
50
30
7
2
10
16
12
38
14-16
88%
30-55
55%
16-41
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.