FinalWin Prob.pScore
1333%108
110
667%114
123
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.910191.2
OKC logo OKC
119.4103115.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
123
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.15 57.3%
OKC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
21
67%
OKC
28
46
61%
Midrange
DET
6
19
32%
OKC
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
OKC
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
DET
25
31
81%
OKC
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin4587%22.5 / 26
I. Smith1260%6.0 / 10
L. Galloway1150%5.5 / 11
R. Jackson1038%5.0 / 13
W. Ellington840%4.0 / 10
T. Maker867%4.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia7175%3.5 / 2
B. Brown583%2.5 / 3
A. Drummond467%2.0 / 3
L. Kennard0-0.0 / 2
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3063%15.0 / 24
R. Westbrook1941%9.5 / 23
J. Grant1963%9.5 / 15
S. Adams1488%7.0 / 8
D. Schröder1454%7.0 / 13
M. Morris1250%6.0 / 12
N. Noel6150%3.0 / 2
R. Felton6100%3.0 / 3
T. Ferguson2100%1.0 / 1
D. Burton150%0.5 / 1
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
87
+7
-14
94
OKC
86
+25
-17
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.15 57.3%
OKC
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
110.3
DET 108.9
OKC 119.4 +10.5
Pace
97.3
102.9
DET 91.2
OKC 115.3 +24.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
13.2
DET 15.8
OKC 12.5 +3.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.4%
DET 52.5%
OKC 53.5% +1.0%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
DET 12.9% +0.4%
OKC 13.3%
ORB %
24.9%
26.0%
DET 9.5%
OKC 42.9% +33.4%
FTrt
26.1
26.6
DET 38.3 +16.5
OKC 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
54.8%
DET 57.1%
OKC 62.5% +5.4%
STL %
7.1%
9.0%
DET 9.9% +0.2%
OKC 9.7%
BLK %
7.1%
9.1%
DET 11.1% +1.1%
OKC 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
53.5%
DET 57.3% +2.4%
OKC 54.9%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.6%
DET 66.7% +5.8%
OKC 60.9%
Mid FG%
38.4%
38.6%
DET 31.6% +0.8%
OKC 30.8%
3P %
34.8%
34.8%
DET 36.6%
OKC 41.4% +4.8%
FT %
74.7%
71.3%
DET 80.6% +12.4%
OKC 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
38.6%
DET 25.9%
OKC 45.5% +19.6%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
26.7%
DET 23.5% +2.3%
OKC 25.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
34.7%
DET 50.6% +21.9%
OKC 28.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETOKC
Possessions101103
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points110123
Rebounds3259
Assists2030
Steals1010
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)17 (0)
Fouls2324
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)21 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)38 (4)
Field Goals35-8148-101
At-the-Rim FG14-2128-46
Midrange FG6-198-26
2-Point FG20-4036-72
3-Point FG15-4112-29
Free Throws25-3115-22
Fast Break Pts1016
2nd Chance Pts427
Points in Paint3064
Pts off Turnovers2219
Bench Points3839
Biggest Lead714

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
34.6
45
87%
7
3
2
0
1
0
0
7
14-16
88%
2-6
33%
9-14
64%
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
31.1
8
40%
4
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-9
22%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
27.4
10
38%
1
3
1
0
2
4
0
1
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
2-8
25%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
26.9
4
67%
9
0
1
5
5
3
2
7
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
20.5
5
83%
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
26.3
11
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
20.6
12
60%
3
4
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
17.3
8
67%
1
1
1
3
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
17.2
7
175%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
15.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 38
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Index Finger Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
32
20
10
8
14
23
4
28
25-31
81%
20-40
50%
15-41
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.