FinalWin Prob.pScore
1549%109
109
1951%110
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.9101100.9
MIN logo MIN
108.8102102.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.0%
MIN
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
28
35
80%
MIN
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIA
7
19
37%
MIN
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
MIN
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
MIN
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2467%12.0 / 18
D. Waiters2265%11.0 / 17
G. Dragic1558%7.5 / 13
J. Johnson1583%7.5 / 9
J. Winslow1346%6.5 / 14
B. Adebayo8100%4.0 / 4
H. Whiteside8100%4.0 / 4
R. McGruder450%2.0 / 4
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Šarić1979%9.5 / 12
G. Dieng1959%9.5 / 16
A. Wiggins1882%9.0 / 11
K. Towns1365%6.5 / 10
T. Jones1255%6.0 / 11
K. Bates-Diop945%4.5 / 10
A. Tolliver788%3.5 / 4
J. Okogie638%3.0 / 8
J. Bayless550%2.5 / 5
C. Reynolds375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+11
-17
95
MIN
84
+14
-18
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.0%
MIN
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.4
MIA 107.9
MIN 108.8 +0.9
Pace
98.1
100.2
MIA 100.9
MIN 102.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.5
MIA 14.3
MIN 14.1 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.1%
MIA 56.8% +2.1%
MIN 54.7%
TO %
14.3%
12.5%
MIA 15.4% +1.2%
MIN 16.6%
ORB %
24.8%
24.7%
MIA 20.9%
MIN 23.7% +2.8%
FTrt
24.7
26.6
MIA 13.6
MIN 24.4 +10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
59.1%
MIA 53.3%
MIN 58.1% +4.8%
STL %
7.8%
8.3%
MIA 9.9% +0.1%
MIN 9.8%
BLK %
10.2%
8.9%
MIA 9.7% +6.0%
MIN 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.9%
MIA 58.0% +1.4%
MIN 56.6%
Rim FG%
60.8%
60.0%
MIA 80.0% +16.4%
MIN 63.6%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.7%
MIA 36.8%
MIN 48.3% +11.5%
3P %
34.9%
35.1%
MIA 29.4%
MIN 33.3% +3.9%
FT %
69.5%
78.7%
MIA 75.0%
MIN 81.0% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.2%
MIA 39.8% +1.4%
MIN 38.4%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
32.3%
MIA 21.6% +12.1%
MIN 33.7%
3P Att. %
36.8%
31.5%
MIA 38.6% +10.7%
MIN 27.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points109111
Rebounds3843
Assists2425
Steals1010
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)18 (1)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals45-8843-86
At-the-Rim FG28-3521-33
Midrange FG7-1914-29
2-Point FG35-5435-62
3-Point FG10-348-24
Free Throws9-1217-21
Fast Break Pts1514
2nd Chance Pts1512
Points in Paint5852
Pts off Turnovers624
Bench Points5143
Biggest Lead96

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
38.1
15
58%
7
9
4
0
2
2
4
3
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
37.1
13
46%
7
4
1
1
4
5
0
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-6
17%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
33.0
22
65%
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
6-12
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
32.1
8
100%
4
0
4
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
17.3
0
0%
4
1
0
2
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.6
24
67%
3
3
1
0
3
2
0
3
7-7
100%
7-11
64%
1-5
20%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
28.2
15
83%
2
5
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-4
25%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
15.9
8
100%
7
0
0
2
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
9.7
4
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
Inactive - Personal
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
58%
38
24
10
6
17
23
9
29
9-12
75%
35-54
65%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.