FinalWin Prob.pScore
454%108
117
1146%107
97
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
117.0100101.1
IND logo IND
99.09897.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.17 58.5%
IND
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
20
29
69%
IND
23
43
53%
Midrange
BOS
21
36
58%
IND
5
26
19%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
IND
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
BOS
14
16
88%
IND
11
19
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2255%11.0 / 20
G. Hayward21105%10.5 / 10
K. Irving1761%8.5 / 14
A. Baynes1169%5.5 / 8
A. Horford1169%5.5 / 8
M. Morris1142%5.5 / 13
B. Wanamaker9113%4.5 / 4
M. Smart638%3.0 / 8
R. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
T. Rozier375%1.5 / 2
G. Yabusele250%1.0 / 2
D. Theis0-0.0 / 2
S. Ojeleye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner1583%7.5 / 9
T. Evans1250%6.0 / 12
D. Sabonis1260%6.0 / 10
A. Holiday1169%5.5 / 8
D. McDermott1179%5.5 / 7
T. Young1045%5.0 / 11
W. Matthews1050%5.0 / 10
C. Joseph744%3.5 / 8
B. Bogdanovic425%2.0 / 8
E. Sumner3150%1.5 / 1
K. O'Quinn225%1.0 / 4
T. Leaf0-0.0 / 8
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
89
+12
-11
101
IND
87
+13
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.17 58.5%
IND
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
109.8
BOS 117.0
IND 99.0 +18.0
Pace
100.0
98.2
BOS 101.1 +4.1
IND 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.6
BOS 14.3 +0.6
IND 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.9%
BOS 56.0% +9.3%
IND 46.7%
TO %
12.4%
13.5%
BOS 10.0%
IND 9.9% +0.1%
ORB %
21.7%
21.9%
BOS 16.7%
IND 19.2% +2.5%
FTrt
21.5
24.2
BOS 17.4
IND 20.7 +3.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
62.8%
BOS 56.3%
IND 63.2% +6.9%
STL %
8.5%
8.9%
BOS 7.0% +1.9%
IND 5.1%
BLK %
9.7%
9.2%
BOS 8.7% +4.1%
IND 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.8%
BOS 58.5% +10.5%
IND 48.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.4%
BOS 69.0% +15.5%
IND 53.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
41.1%
BOS 58.3% +39.1%
IND 19.2%
3P %
36.5%
37.4%
BOS 25.9%
IND 43.5% +17.6%
FT %
80.2%
75.1%
BOS 87.5% +29.6%
IND 57.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
38.7%
BOS 31.5%
IND 46.7% +15.2%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
32.2%
BOS 39.1%
IND 28.3% +10.9%
3P Att. %
38.1%
29.1%
BOS 29.3% +4.3%
IND 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSIND
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points11797
Rebounds4945
Assists2724
Steals75
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1515
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)35 (0)
Field Goals48-9238-92
At-the-Rim FG20-2923-43
Midrange FG21-365-26
2-Point FG41-6528-69
3-Point FG7-2710-23
Free Throws14-1611-19
Fast Break Pts2616
2nd Chance Pts1115
Points in Paint5454
Pts off Turnovers1414
Bench Points5051
Biggest Lead253

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
34.1
22
55%
7
2
3
1
1
2
1
6
3-4
75%
8-14
57%
1-5
20%
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
27.9
6
38%
3
5
0
1
3
3
0
3
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
27.0
17
61%
3
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
26.8
11
69%
11
2
1
2
0
2
3
8
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
26.8
11
69%
7
2
1
1
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
25.6
21
105%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
3-3
100%
9-9
100%
0-0
-
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30
24.4
11
42%
6
3
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-5
20%
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30
17.1
9
113%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
11.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
6.9
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
4.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
3.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
59%
49
27
7
6
11
15
7
42
14-16
88%
41-65
63%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.