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All Games Friday, April 5, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Spurs
58%117
129
21
Wizards
42%114
112
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
134.49693.8
WAS logo WAS
116.79698.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASWAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.129
100%
112
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.28 63.9%
WAS
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
34
68%
WAS
23
31
74%
Midrange
SAS
18
32
56%
WAS
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
WAS
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
SAS
17
20
85%
WAS
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2467%12.0 / 18
R. Gay18100%9.0 / 9
B. Forbes1794%8.5 / 9
P. Mills1771%8.5 / 12
D. DeRozan1667%8.0 / 12
J. Poeltl1381%6.5 / 8
D. White1056%5.0 / 9
D. Bertans1071%5.0 / 7
D. Motiejunas225%1.0 / 4
D. Eubanks2100%1.0 / 1
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 1
L. Walker IV0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal2560%12.5 / 21
T. Bryant1986%9.5 / 11
B. Portis1667%8.0 / 12
J. Green1470%7.0 / 10
T. Brown Jr.1359%6.5 / 11
J. McRae750%3.5 / 7
T. Satoransky638%3.0 / 8
C. Randle550%2.5 / 5
D. Robinson467%2.0 / 3
S. Dekker338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
87
+14
-9
101
WAS
87
+13
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.28 63.9%
WAS
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.7
SAS 134.4 +17.7
WAS 116.7
Pace
98.6
101.7
SAS 93.8
WAS 98.3 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.8
SAS 15.4
WAS 14.6 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
53.1%
SAS 61.5% +8.7%
WAS 52.8%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 8.3% +1.0%
WAS 9.3%
ORB %
20.9%
21.2%
SAS 32.4% +9.3%
WAS 23.1%
FTrt
23.7
26.6
SAS 22.0
WAS 25.0 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
62.3%
SAS 66.7% +14.3%
WAS 52.4%
STL %
6.2%
8.1%
SAS 3.1% +1.0%
WAS 2.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.0%
SAS 7.1% +1.0%
WAS 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.6%
SAS 63.9% +7.9%
WAS 56.0%
Rim FG%
62.7%
64.0%
SAS 67.6%
WAS 74.2% +6.6%
Mid FG%
44.0%
40.0%
SAS 56.3% +16.3%
WAS 40.0%
3P %
39.2%
34.0%
SAS 40.0% +11.9%
WAS 28.1%
FT %
81.8%
76.8%
SAS 85.0%
WAS 86.4% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
37.3%
SAS 37.4% +2.1%
WAS 35.2%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
25.7%
SAS 35.2%
WAS 28.4% +6.8%
3P Att. %
28.6%
37.0%
SAS 27.5%
WAS 36.4% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASWAS
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points129112
Rebounds4234
Assists3422
Steals32
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (1)
Fouls1816
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)25 (2)
Field Goals51-9142-88
At-the-Rim FG23-3423-31
Midrange FG18-3210-25
2-Point FG41-6633-56
3-Point FG10-259-32
Free Throws17-2019-22
Fast Break Pts20
2nd Chance Pts1414
Points in Paint5654
Pts off Turnovers89
Bench Points4933
Biggest Lead244

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
31.5
17
94%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
Derrick White
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
29.9
10
56%
6
8
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
28.0
16
67%
5
4
0
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
27.5
24
67%
7
2
0
1
0
3
6
1
4-5
80%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
23.6
13
81%
7
3
0
0
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
26.7
18
100%
6
4
1
0
1
3
0
6
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
20.4
17
71%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
19.1
10
71%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
16.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
4.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
#28 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 29
4.3
2
25%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
3.8
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL Tear
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hip Soreness
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
64%
42
34
3
4
9
18
12
30
17-20
85%
41-66
62%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.