FinalWin Prob.pScore
270%118
111
2030%110
113
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
116.89596.0
CHA logo CHA
118.99594.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.23 61.7%
CHA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
19
26
73%
CHA
26
38
68%
Midrange
TOR
15
28
54%
CHA
5
17
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
CHA
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
Free Throws
TOR
16
20
80%
CHA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2985%14.5 / 17
S. Ibaka2067%10.0 / 15
K. Lowry1657%8.0 / 14
P. Siakam1488%7.0 / 8
F. VanVleet1267%6.0 / 9
D. Green867%4.0 / 6
M. Gasol6100%3.0 / 3
O. Anunoby450%2.0 / 4
N. Powell233%1.0 / 3
J. Lin0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2985%14.5 / 17
F. Kaminsky2258%11.0 / 19
J. Lamb2273%11.0 / 15
M. Kidd-Gilchrist10125%5.0 / 4
M. Monk1063%5.0 / 8
D. Bacon831%4.0 / 13
M. Bridges750%3.5 / 7
N. Batum3150%1.5 / 1
D. Graham220%1.0 / 5
B. Biyombo0-0.0 / 1
W. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+8
-14
89
CHA
89
+10
-6
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.23 61.7%
CHA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
111.3
TOR 116.8
CHA 118.9 +2.1
Pace
100.2
98.7
TOR 96.0 +2.0
CHA 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.6
TOR 15.0 +0.3
CHA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.4%
TOR 59.4% +5.7%
CHA 53.7%
TO %
13.2%
11.7%
TOR 13.6%
CHA 6.5% +7.1%
ORB %
21.8%
21.9%
TOR 13.5%
CHA 17.4% +3.9%
FTrt
24.7
25.7
TOR 25.0 +10.1
CHA 14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
57.8%
TOR 62.8%
CHA 63.6% +0.8%
STL %
8.2%
7.2%
TOR 2.1%
CHA 6.3% +4.2%
BLK %
9.1%
8.9%
TOR 9.1% +5.4%
CHA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
54.2%
TOR 61.7% +4.6%
CHA 57.1%
Rim FG%
61.6%
56.9%
TOR 73.1% +4.7%
CHA 68.4%
Mid FG%
43.1%
41.7%
TOR 53.6% +24.2%
CHA 29.4%
3P %
36.6%
35.1%
TOR 34.6% +1.3%
CHA 33.3%
FT %
80.4%
79.7%
TOR 80.0%
CHA 85.7% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.6%
TOR 32.5%
CHA 40.4% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
25.7%
TOR 35.0%
CHA 18.1% +16.9%
3P Att. %
37.9%
37.8%
TOR 32.5%
CHA 41.5% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORCHA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points111113
Rebounds4340
Assists2728
Steals26
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)6 (1)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)32 (0)
Field Goals43-8044-94
At-the-Rim FG19-2626-38
Midrange FG15-285-17
2-Point FG34-5431-55
3-Point FG9-2613-39
Free Throws16-2012-14
Fast Break Pts1415
2nd Chance Pts916
Points in Paint5058
Pts off Turnovers720
Bench Points3859
Biggest Lead149

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
36.3
16
57%
5
11
0
0
3
4
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
31.7
29
85%
6
4
0
0
1
1
0
6
4-7
57%
11-13
85%
1-5
20%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
28.9
14
88%
5
3
0
0
2
4
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
26.8
6
100%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
18.9
8
67%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
30.9
12
67%
3
5
0
2
3
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 30
21.0
20
67%
12
1
0
2
2
1
3
9
0-0
-
10-14
71%
0-1
0%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
19.7
2
33%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
15.7
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#20 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sprained right thumb
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
43
27
2
5
14
17
5
38
16-20
80%
34-54
63%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.