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All Games Thursday, April 4, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Bucks
53%114
128
9
76ers
47%113
122
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
113.3113117.5
PHI logo PHI
108.9112107.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILPHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
122
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.7%
PHI
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
25
56%
PHI
11
24
46%
Midrange
MIL
16
34
47%
PHI
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
PHI
18
27.0
36
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
32
43
74%
PHI
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo4573%22.5 / 31
K. Middleton2258%11.0 / 19
G. Hill2077%10.0 / 13
S. Brown1246%6.0 / 13
D. Wilson1169%5.5 / 8
B. Lopez938%4.5 / 12
P. Connaughton450%2.0 / 4
E. Ilyasova330%1.5 / 5
T. Frazier250%1.0 / 2
E. Bledsoe0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Embiid3447%17.0 / 36
J. Redick2997%14.5 / 15
M. Scott22100%11.0 / 11
T. Harris1346%6.5 / 14
B. Simmons660%3.0 / 5
J. Bolden660%3.0 / 5
Z. Smith643%3.0 / 7
T. McConnell450%2.0 / 4
B. Marjanovic2100%1.0 / 1
S. Milton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
103
+10
-10
113
PHI
99
+7
-13
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.11 55.7%
PHI
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
112.0
MIL 113.3 +4.3
PHI 108.9
Pace
103.2
102.2
MIL 117.5 +9.6
PHI 107.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.1
MIL 12.3 +1.1
PHI 13.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.2%
MIL 51.6%
PHI 56.8% +5.2%
TO %
12.8%
14.0%
MIL 8.9% +2.3%
PHI 11.2%
ORB %
20.8%
24.5%
MIL 17.0% +8.3%
PHI 8.7%
FTrt
25.5
31.2
MIL 46.2 +27.3
PHI 18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
64.8%
MIL 61.9%
PHI 80.0% +18.1%
STL %
7.2%
7.2%
MIL 4.4% +0.8%
PHI 3.6%
BLK %
10.4%
8.6%
MIL 10.2%
PHI 13.6% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
56.1%
MIL 55.7%
PHI 57.5% +1.8%
Rim FG%
64.1%
63.0%
MIL 56.0% +10.2%
PHI 45.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.5%
MIL 47.1% +1.4%
PHI 45.7%
3P %
35.2%
35.9%
MIL 35.3%
PHI 50.0% +14.7%
FT %
77.2%
77.1%
MIL 74.4%
PHI 77.8% +3.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
36.3%
MIL 26.9% +1.6%
PHI 25.3%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
29.5%
MIL 36.6% +0.3%
PHI 36.8%
3P Att. %
42.0%
34.2%
MIL 36.6%
PHI 37.9% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILPHI
Possessions113112
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points128122
Rebounds5043
Assists2636
Steals54
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1826
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (5)39 (2)
Field Goals42-9345-95
At-the-Rim FG14-2511-24
Midrange FG16-3416-35
2-Point FG30-5927-59
3-Point FG12-3418-36
Free Throws32-4314-18
Fast Break Pts2914
2nd Chance Pts153
Points in Paint4828
Pts off Turnovers2211
Bench Points4018
Biggest Lead99

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Sterling Brown
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
35.0
12
46%
5
3
1
0
2
0
0
5
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
35.0
45
73%
13
6
0
5
0
2
0
13
16-21
76%
10-15
67%
3-7
43%
Brook Lopez
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
31.4
9
38%
7
2
1
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-7
14%
Khris Middleton
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
25.2
22
58%
3
4
2
0
5
1
1
2
5-7
71%
4-12
33%
3-6
50%
Eric Bledsoe
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
George Hill
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
32.8
20
77%
5
5
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
2-3
67%
Pat Connaughton
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
31.4
4
50%
6
2
0
0
1
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
19.2
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
D.J. Wilson
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
16.4
11
69%
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
3
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Tim Frazier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
11.0
2
50%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Bonzie Colson
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Snell
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left ankle sprain
Nikola Mirotic
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left thumb sprain/fracture
Donte DiVincenzo
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Heel bursitis
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Plantar Fascia
Pau Gasol
#17 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
56%
50
26
5
6
10
18
8
42
32-43
74%
30-59
51%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.