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All Games Wednesday, April 3, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Spurs
37%110
85
7
Nuggets
63%114
113
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
92.49288.9
DEN logo DEN
122.89295.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.85
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.7%
DEN
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
25
60%
DEN
19
29
66%
Midrange
SAS
11
29
38%
DEN
16
25
64%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
27
19%
28%
DEN
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
SAS
18
25
72%
DEN
7
12
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1657%8.0 / 14
L. Walker IV1667%8.0 / 12
D. DeRozan1161%5.5 / 9
D. Bertans1155%5.5 / 10
R. Gay932%4.5 / 14
B. Forbes788%3.5 / 4
D. White531%2.5 / 8
P. Mills542%2.5 / 6
J. Poeltl350%1.5 / 3
Q. Pondexter250%1.0 / 2
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 5
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 1
D. Eubanks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić20111%10.0 / 9
M. Morris1995%9.5 / 10
M. Beasley1968%9.5 / 14
J. Murray1450%7.0 / 14
G. Harris1155%5.5 / 10
W. Barton1161%5.5 / 9
M. Plumlee964%4.5 / 7
T. Lyles788%3.5 / 4
P. Millsap330%1.5 / 5
T. Craig0-0.0 / 1
J. Vanderbilt0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+12
-11
93
DEN
78
+15
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.91 45.7%
DEN
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
112.6
SAS 92.4 +30.4
DEN 122.8
Pace
98.6
98.0
SAS 88.9
DEN 95.3 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.7
SAS 16.2
DEN 15.1 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.7%
SAS 41.4%
DEN 60.9% +19.5%
TO %
11.9%
13.1%
SAS 10.7% +3.3%
DEN 14.0%
ORB %
20.9%
26.6%
SAS 22.0%
DEN 22.9% +0.9%
FTrt
23.7
23.2
SAS 30.9 +17.1
DEN 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
65.3%
SAS 48.4%
DEN 87.2% +38.8%
STL %
6.2%
7.9%
SAS 9.8% +3.3%
DEN 6.5%
BLK %
8.3%
8.2%
SAS 13.0% +7.4%
DEN 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.5%
SAS 45.7%
DEN 60.1% +14.4%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.6%
SAS 60.0%
DEN 65.5% +5.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
43.3%
SAS 37.9%
DEN 64.0% +26.1%
3P %
39.2%
35.1%
SAS 18.5%
DEN 36.4% +17.9%
FT %
81.8%
75.5%
SAS 72.0% +13.7%
DEN 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
37.5%
SAS 30.9%
DEN 33.3% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
27.7%
SAS 35.8%
DEN 28.7% +7.1%
3P Att. %
28.6%
34.8%
SAS 33.3%
DEN 37.9% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points85113
Rebounds3847
Assists1541
Steals96
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1420
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals31-8147-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2519-29
Midrange FG11-2916-25
2-Point FG26-5435-54
3-Point FG5-2712-33
Free Throws18-257-12
Fast Break Pts310
2nd Chance Pts916
Points in Paint4458
Pts off Turnovers1120
Bench Points4354
Biggest Lead030

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
24.5
16
57%
6
1
0
3
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
23.9
7
88%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
23.8
11
61%
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
17.7
5
31%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
17.1
3
50%
7
1
1
2
0
3
6
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
27.2
11
55%
2
2
3
0
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
19.8
9
32%
8
2
1
0
1
3
3
5
3-5
60%
3-10
30%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
19.7
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
15.7
16
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
14.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
12.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
12.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
12.0
0
0%
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
46%
38
15
9
7
11
14
11
27
18-25
72%
26-54
48%
5-27
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.