| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 106.1 | 99 | 95.8 |
 BOS | 111.1 | 99 | 102.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+13
-15
97
BOS
87
+16
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | BOS |
| Q4 - | End of 4th Quarter. | 105 0% | 110 100% | |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
BOS
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
6
16
38%
BOS
6
25
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
37
27%
41%
BOS
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
BOS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dragic | 30 | 71% | 15.0 / 21 | |
| B. Adebayo | 19 | 73% | 9.5 / 13 | |
| D. Wade | 17 | 50% | 8.5 / 17 | |
| K. Olynyk | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| D. Waiters | 14 | 47% | 7.0 / 15 | |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| H. Whiteside | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| D. Jones | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| R. Anderson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Celtics| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Irving | 25 | 63% | 12.5 / 20 | |
| A. Horford | 19 | 73% | 9.5 / 13 | |
| J. Tatum | 19 | 59% | 9.5 / 16 | |
| M. Smart | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| G. Hayward | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| M. Morris | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| T. Rozier | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| A. Baynes | 4 | 22% | 2.0 / 9 | |
| S. Ojeleye | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| D. Theis | 1 | 17% | 0.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
84
+13
-15
97
BOS
87
+16
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 111.8 | MIA 106.1 BOS 111.1 +5.1 |
| Pace | 98.1 100.0 | MIA 95.8 BOS 102.4 +6.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.0 14.2 | MIA 15.0 BOS 14.1 +1.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.5% 53.4% | MIA 51.1% +2.2% BOS 48.9% |
| TO % | 14.3% 12.4% | MIA 13.5% BOS 11.3% +2.2% |
| ORB % | 24.8% 21.7% | MIA 20.5% BOS 26.4% +5.9% |
| FTrt | 24.7 21.5 | MIA 20.5 BOS 26.4 +5.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 61.2% 62.4% | MIA 67.5% BOS 69.4% +1.9% |
| STL % | 7.8% 8.5% | MIA 9.1% +1.0% BOS 8.1% |
| BLK % | 10.2% 9.7% | MIA 11.8% +7.9% BOS 3.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.9% 55.3% | MIA 53.6% +0.2% BOS 53.4% |
| Rim FG% | 60.8% 61.6% | MIA 68.6% +18.6% BOS 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 36.8% 43.1% | MIA 37.5% +13.5% BOS 24.0% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 36.5% | MIA 27.0% BOS 42.5% +15.5% |
| FT % | 69.5% 80.2% | MIA 83.3% BOS 87.5% +4.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.3% 32.1% | MIA 39.8% +11.2% BOS 28.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 25.9% 29.8% | MIA 18.2% +9.3% BOS 27.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 36.8% 38.1% | MIA 42.0% BOS 44.0% +1.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
| Game Totals | MIA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 99 | 99 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.8 | 23.2 |
| Points | 105 | 110 |
| Rebounds | 48 | 49 |
| Assists | 27 | 25 |
| Steals | 9 | 8 |
| Blocks | 6 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 12 (1) |
| Fouls | 17 | 18 |
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (4) | 14 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 39 (2) | 35 (2) |
| Field Goals | 40-88 | 36-91 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 24-35 | 13-26 |
| Midrange FG | 6-16 | 6-25 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-51 | 19-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-37 | 17-40 |
| Free Throws | 15-18 | 21-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | 13 | 19 |
| 2nd Chance Pts | 6 | 19 |
| Points in Paint | 56 | 28 |
| Pts off Turnovers | 17 | 18 |
| Bench Points | 27 | 27 |
| Biggest Lead | 0 | 23 |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.