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All Games Sunday, March 31, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Bucks
75%121
135
24
Hawks
25%112
136
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
115.4117107.7
ATL logo ATL
114.3119106.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
OT1 - End of 1st OT.135
0%
136
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 53.1%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
25
44
57%
ATL
24
40
60%
Midrange
MIL
6
17
35%
ATL
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
17
25.5
55
31%
46%
ATL
22
33.0
61
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIL
22
23
96%
ATL
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Brown2759%13.5 / 23
T. Frazier2059%10.0 / 17
B. Lopez1963%9.5 / 15
G. Hill1860%9.0 / 15
P. Connaughton1753%8.5 / 16
B. Colson1539%7.5 / 19
D. Wilson1250%6.0 / 12
E. Ilyasova758%3.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Anderson2467%12.0 / 18
J. Collins2377%11.5 / 15
A. Len2382%11.5 / 14
D. Bembry1667%8.0 / 12
T. Young1232%6.0 / 19
K. Huerter956%4.5 / 8
V. Carter941%4.5 / 11
J. Adams857%4.0 / 7
K. Bazemore627%3.0 / 11
D. Davis650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
101
+25
-16
126
ATL
110
+20
-9
130
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 53.1%
ATL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
108.1
MIL 115.4 +1.1
ATL 114.3
Pace
103.2
103.9
MIL 107.7 +1.7
ATL 106.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.6
MIL 13.4 +0.2
ATL 13.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
52.2%
MIL 48.7%
ATL 53.4% +4.7%
TO %
12.8%
15.8%
MIL 11.3%
ATL 6.7% +4.6%
ORB %
20.8%
24.8%
MIL 33.8% +10.4%
ATL 23.4%
FTrt
25.5
25.5
MIL 19.8 +5.4
ATL 14.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
62.4%
MIL 62.5%
ATL 69.2% +6.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
MIL 5.1%
ATL 8.4% +3.3%
BLK %
10.4%
9.2%
MIL 5.3%
ATL 16.4% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
54.6%
MIL 53.1% +0.8%
ATL 52.3%
Rim FG%
64.1%
59.0%
MIL 56.8%
ATL 60.0% +3.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
37.9%
MIL 35.3%
ATL 35.3%
3P %
35.2%
35.2%
MIL 30.9%
ATL 36.1% +5.2%
FT %
77.2%
75.2%
MIL 95.7% +36.9%
ATL 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
39.2%
MIL 37.9% +4.0%
ATL 33.9%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
20.4%
MIL 14.7%
ATL 14.4% +0.2%
3P Att. %
42.0%
40.3%
MIL 47.4%
ATL 51.7% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions117119
Possession Minutes26.126.9
Points135136
Rebounds7158
Assists3036
Steals610
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2013
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)49 (2)43 (1)
Field Goals48-11652-118
At-the-Rim FG25-4424-40
Midrange FG6-176-17
2-Point FG31-6130-57
3-Point FG17-5522-61
Free Throws22-2310-17
Fast Break Pts1311
2nd Chance Pts2521
Points in Paint5256
Pts off Turnovers1516
Bench Points4245
Biggest Lead238

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
4 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tim Frazier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
53.0
20
59%
7
15
1
0
5
4
5
2
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
2-7
29%
Bonzie Colson
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
41.1
15
39%
16
2
1
1
1
2
5
11
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
1-9
11%
D.J. Wilson
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
34.0
12
50%
7
5
0
0
1
4
1
6
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
Sterling Brown
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
33.2
27
59%
9
3
3
1
2
2
2
7
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
5-10
50%
Brook Lopez
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
27.4
19
63%
6
3
1
0
2
3
0
6
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
Pat Connaughton
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
29.0
17
53%
12
1
0
0
1
1
5
7
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-7
14%
George Hill
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
25.4
18
60%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
2-7
29%
Ersan Ilyasova
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
22.0
7
58%
8
0
0
0
3
3
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Khris Middleton
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Groin Soreness
Giannis Antetokounmpo
#34 · SF · 6'11" 243 · 24
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Eric Bledsoe
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Snell
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
Pau Gasol
#17 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
Donte DiVincenzo
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Heel Bursitis
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Plantar Fascia
Nikola Mirotic
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Sprain/Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
135
53%
71
30
6
3
16
20
22
49
22-23
96%
31-61
51%
17-55
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.