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All Games Friday, March 29, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Nuggets
38%110
115
7
Thunder
62%114
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
123.79384.3
OKC logo OKC
112.993103.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.25 62.5%
OKC
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
21
86%
OKC
28
40
70%
Midrange
DEN
16
31
52%
OKC
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
OKC
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
DEN
5
6
83%
OKC
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2764%13.5 / 21
N. Jokić2372%11.5 / 16
P. Millsap14100%7.0 / 7
W. Barton1286%6.0 / 7
M. Plumlee11110%5.5 / 5
G. Harris867%4.0 / 6
M. Beasley750%3.5 / 7
T. Craig6100%3.0 / 3
M. Morris433%2.0 / 6
T. Lyles350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook2764%13.5 / 21
P. George2552%12.5 / 24
S. Adams1667%8.0 / 12
J. Grant1056%5.0 / 9
D. Schröder950%4.5 / 9
N. Noel8100%4.0 / 4
A. Nader583%2.5 / 3
M. Morris338%1.5 / 4
T. Ferguson250%1.0 / 2
D. Burton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+10
-12
91
OKC
80
+16
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.25 62.5%
OKC
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.3
DEN 123.7 +10.8
OKC 112.9
Pace
98.0
102.9
DEN 84.3
OKC 103.7 +19.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.2
DEN 17.1
OKC 13.9 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
DEN 64.7% +11.3%
OKC 53.4%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
DEN 12.9%
OKC 12.0% +0.9%
ORB %
26.6%
26.0%
DEN 23.3%
OKC 27.3% +4.0%
FTrt
23.2
26.6
DEN 7.1
OKC 18.2 +11.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
54.8%
DEN 62.5% +18.3%
OKC 44.2%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
DEN 6.5% +1.1%
OKC 5.4%
BLK %
8.2%
9.1%
DEN 1.6%
OKC 9.6% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.5%
DEN 62.5% +7.2%
OKC 55.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.6%
DEN 85.7% +15.7%
OKC 70.0%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.6%
DEN 51.6% +18.3%
OKC 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
34.8%
DEN 42.4% +12.8%
OKC 29.6%
FT %
75.5%
71.3%
DEN 83.3% +14.5%
OKC 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
38.6%
DEN 24.7%
OKC 45.5% +20.7%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
26.7%
DEN 36.5%
OKC 23.9% +12.6%
3P Att. %
34.8%
34.7%
DEN 38.8% +8.1%
OKC 30.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENOKC
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points115105
Rebounds3935
Assists3019
Steals65
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2117
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)23 (3)
Field Goals48-8543-88
At-the-Rim FG18-2128-40
Midrange FG16-317-21
2-Point FG34-5235-61
3-Point FG14-338-27
Free Throws5-611-16
Fast Break Pts516
2nd Chance Pts1319
Points in Paint4668
Pts off Turnovers1916
Bench Points3125
Biggest Lead141

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.4
23
72%
16
3
1
0
2
3
2
14
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
33.5
27
64%
5
9
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
8-11
73%
3-9
33%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
30.6
8
67%
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
26.9
14
100%
5
2
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
24.5
12
86%
0
1
0
0
3
5
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
22.7
11
110%
5
3
0
0
3
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
22.3
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
20.1
4
33%
1
7
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
13.1
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
12.1
3
50%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Two Way
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Two Way
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low back surgery
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
63%
39
30
6
1
12
21
7
32
5-6
83%
34-52
65%
14-33
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.