FinalWin Prob.pScore
1137%105
112
663%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
116.79691.1
BOS logo BOS
118.896101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.4%
BOS
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
20
35
57%
BOS
24
33
73%
Midrange
IND
10
28
36%
BOS
7
26
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
BOS
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
Free Throws
IND
16
23
70%
BOS
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic2779%13.5 / 17
T. Young1864%9.0 / 14
M. Turner1558%7.5 / 13
D. Collison1250%6.0 / 12
T. Leaf1286%6.0 / 7
D. Sabonis1155%5.5 / 10
T. Evans744%3.5 / 8
W. Matthews433%2.0 / 6
D. McDermott440%2.0 / 5
C. Joseph225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3063%15.0 / 24
A. Horford1973%9.5 / 13
J. Brown1680%8.0 / 10
A. Baynes1393%6.5 / 7
J. Tatum1169%5.5 / 8
G. Hayward1179%5.5 / 7
M. Morris744%3.5 / 8
M. Smart660%3.0 / 5
T. Rozier113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+16
-12
100
BOS
82
+11
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.4%
BOS
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
111.8
IND 116.7
BOS 118.8 +2.1
Pace
98.2
100.0
IND 91.1
BOS 101.5 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.2
IND 15.8
BOS 14.2 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.4%
IND 53.3%
BOS 58.7% +5.4%
TO %
13.5%
12.4%
IND 10.7% +2.3%
BOS 13.0%
ORB %
21.9%
21.7%
IND 28.0% +7.4%
BOS 20.6%
FTrt
24.2
21.5
IND 25.6 +5.8
BOS 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
62.4%
IND 64.3% +2.9%
BOS 61.4%
STL %
8.9%
8.5%
IND 9.4% +1.1%
BOS 8.3%
BLK %
9.2%
9.7%
IND 3.4%
BOS 7.9% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
55.3%
IND 55.4%
BOS 60.0% +4.6%
Rim FG%
60.4%
61.6%
IND 57.1%
BOS 72.7% +15.6%
Mid FG%
41.1%
43.1%
IND 35.7% +8.8%
BOS 26.9%
3P %
37.4%
36.5%
IND 44.4%
BOS 48.1% +3.7%
FT %
75.1%
80.2%
IND 69.6%
BOS 76.5% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
32.1%
IND 38.9% +0.5%
BOS 38.4%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
29.8%
IND 31.1%
BOS 30.2% +0.9%
3P Att. %
29.1%
38.1%
IND 30.0%
BOS 31.4% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDBOS
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points112114
Rebounds4143
Assists2727
Steals98
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (5)36 (2)
Field Goals42-9044-86
At-the-Rim FG20-3524-33
Midrange FG10-287-26
2-Point FG30-6331-59
3-Point FG12-2713-27
Free Throws16-2313-17
Fast Break Pts826
2nd Chance Pts2016
Points in Paint4054
Pts off Turnovers1715
Bench Points3635
Biggest Lead313

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
33.9
15
58%
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
32.8
27
79%
1
2
2
0
3
1
0
1
7-9
78%
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
29.3
18
64%
9
4
0
0
2
1
4
5
1-3
33%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
27.6
12
50%
1
7
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
27.4
4
33%
2
2
2
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
21.1
11
55%
8
3
0
1
2
5
3
5
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 30
20.6
7
44%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
20.4
2
25%
1
5
2
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
15.2
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
11.7
12
86%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
55%
41
27
9
2
12
16
14
27
16-23
70%
30-63
48%
12-27
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.