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All Games Thursday, March 28, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
39%110
85
2
Rockets
61%114
112
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
90.49496.8
HOU logo HOU
116.79693.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.85
0%
112
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.7%
HOU
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
27
70%
HOU
15
27
56%
Midrange
DEN
8
33
24%
HOU
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
24
17%
25%
HOU
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
19
20
95%
HOU
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2063%10.0 / 16
N. Jokić1657%8.0 / 14
M. Morris1673%8.0 / 11
G. Harris1155%5.5 / 10
P. Millsap857%4.0 / 7
M. Beasley420%2.0 / 10
M. Plumlee440%2.0 / 5
W. Barton217%1.0 / 6
T. Lyles220%1.0 / 5
T. Craig233%1.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
J. Vanderbilt0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3873%19.0 / 26
E. Gordon1890%9.0 / 10
C. Capela1771%8.5 / 12
A. Rivers1583%7.5 / 9
C. Paul941%4.5 / 11
I. Shumpert770%3.5 / 5
P. Tucker375%1.5 / 2
G. Clark338%1.5 / 4
Nene225%1.0 / 4
D. House0-0.0 / 5
C. Chiozza0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+13
-14
93
HOU
86
+13
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.7%
HOU
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
115.4
DEN 90.4 +26.2
HOU 116.7
Pace
98.0
98.0
DEN 96.8 +3.4
HOU 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.8
DEN 14.9 +0.5
HOU 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
54.2%
DEN 39.3%
HOU 54.6% +15.3%
TO %
13.1%
12.8%
DEN 13.9%
HOU 9.5% +4.4%
ORB %
26.6%
22.8%
DEN 16.7%
HOU 26.2% +9.5%
FTrt
23.2
27.9
DEN 23.8 +0.8
HOU 23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
54.1%
DEN 71.0% +16.0%
HOU 55.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
DEN 7.4%
HOU 8.3% +0.9%
BLK %
8.2%
8.7%
DEN 6.4% +1.4%
HOU 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
56.9%
DEN 45.7%
HOU 56.6% +10.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.6%
DEN 70.4% +14.8%
HOU 55.6%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.8%
DEN 24.2%
HOU 50.0% +25.8%
3P %
35.1%
35.6%
DEN 16.7%
HOU 37.5% +20.8%
FT %
75.5%
79.1%
DEN 95.0% +10.0%
HOU 85.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
33.9%
DEN 32.1% +1.1%
HOU 31.0%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
14.2%
DEN 39.3%
HOU 23.0% +16.3%
3P Att. %
34.8%
51.9%
DEN 28.6%
HOU 46.0% +17.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points85112
Rebounds3846
Assists2222
Steals78
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)35 (5)
Field Goals31-8440-87
At-the-Rim FG19-2715-27
Midrange FG8-3310-20
2-Point FG27-6025-47
3-Point FG4-2415-40
Free Throws19-2017-20
Fast Break Pts1014
2nd Chance Pts1510
Points in Paint4846
Pts off Turnovers1113
Bench Points2827
Biggest Lead730

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
28.7
2
17%
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
28.6
11
55%
2
3
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
3-5
60%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
26.4
20
63%
4
3
2
0
0
1
1
3
6-7
86%
7-12
58%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
24.9
16
57%
8
6
0
2
2
3
3
5
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
22.3
8
57%
2
0
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
26.7
16
73%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
23.4
4
20%
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-7
0%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
23.1
4
40%
8
2
1
0
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
12.0
2
20%
5
0
0
0
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
5.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
4.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
INACTIVE
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low back surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
INACTIVE
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
46%
38
22
7
3
14
17
7
31
19-20
95%
27-60
45%
4-24
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.