FinalWin Prob.pScore
1739%103
104
1561%107
99
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
105.19994.7
MIA logo MIA
101.098102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.104
100%
99
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
27
63%
MIA
18
31
58%
Midrange
ORL
6
20
30%
MIA
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
14
21.0
42
33%
50%
MIA
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
Free Throws
ORL
16
23
70%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2463%12.0 / 19
J. Isaac1995%9.5 / 10
D. Augustin1757%8.5 / 15
A. Gordon1441%7.0 / 17
E. Fournier1161%5.5 / 9
T. Ross1038%5.0 / 13
K. Birch675%3.0 / 4
M. Carter-Williams325%1.5 / 6
W. Iwundu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2687%13.0 / 15
D. Wade2258%11.0 / 19
J. Richardson1757%8.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1083%5.0 / 6
B. Adebayo950%4.5 / 9
D. Jones956%4.5 / 8
K. Olynyk425%2.0 / 8
G. Dragic217%1.0 / 6
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+18
-15
102
MIA
87
+10
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
107.5
ORL 105.1 +4.0
MIA 101.0
Pace
98.4
98.1
ORL 94.7
MIA 102.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
ORL 15.2
MIA 14.0 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
51.5%
ORL 49.4% +1.7%
MIA 47.7%
TO %
12.7%
14.3%
ORL 13.1%
MIA 11.2% +1.9%
ORB %
21.9%
24.8%
ORL 31.3% +18.3%
MIA 13.0%
FTrt
21.6
24.7
ORL 25.8 +1.4
MIA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
61.2%
ORL 73.0% +3.6%
MIA 69.4%
STL %
6.7%
7.8%
ORL 5.1%
MIA 10.2% +5.1%
BLK %
9.5%
10.2%
ORL 9.4% +7.3%
MIA 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.9%
ORL 51.0%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.8%
ORL 63.0% +4.9%
MIA 58.1%
Mid FG%
40.3%
36.8%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 36.4% +6.4%
3P %
35.6%
34.9%
ORL 33.3% +3.0%
MIA 30.3%
FT %
78.2%
69.5%
ORL 69.6%
MIA 81.0% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
37.3%
ORL 30.3%
MIA 36.0% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
25.9%
ORL 22.5% +3.1%
MIA 25.6%
3P Att. %
36.0%
36.8%
ORL 47.2% +8.8%
MIA 38.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points10499
Rebounds5539
Assists2725
Steals510
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)33 (5)
Field Goals37-8936-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2718-31
Midrange FG6-208-22
2-Point FG23-4726-53
3-Point FG14-4210-33
Free Throws16-2317-21
Fast Break Pts913
2nd Chance Pts135
Points in Paint3644
Pts off Turnovers913
Bench Points1934
Biggest Lead817

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 24
36.8
14
41%
10
2
1
0
2
2
4
6
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
1-4
25%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
34.5
24
63%
16
5
1
1
2
2
3
13
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
2-5
40%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
32.6
11
61%
4
3
1
0
3
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
30.3
17
57%
4
7
0
0
2
3
1
3
9-10
90%
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
28.8
19
95%
6
2
1
2
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
30.3
10
38%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
3-11
27%
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
18.3
3
25%
6
6
0
1
2
0
2
4
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
15.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
13.0
6
75%
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Thoracic Outlet Syndrome
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Meniscus Tear Right Knee
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Stress Fracture Left Tibia
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Contusion
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
55
27
5
5
15
19
15
40
16-23
70%
23-47
49%
14-42
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.