FinalWin Prob.pScore
970%113
116
2730%106
106
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
117.299104.0
CLE logo CLE
109.39792.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSCLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
106
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.4%
CLE
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
24
34
71%
CLE
16
26
62%
Midrange
BOS
12
32
38%
CLE
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
CLE
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
BOS
14
19
74%
CLE
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2162%10.5 / 17
M. Smart2170%10.5 / 15
A. Horford1986%9.5 / 11
G. Hayward1563%7.5 / 12
M. Morris1441%7.0 / 17
T. Rozier1146%5.5 / 12
J. Brown956%4.5 / 8
A. Baynes4100%2.0 / 2
G. Yabusele2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Sexton2460%12.0 / 20
J. Clarkson1864%9.0 / 14
C. Osman1594%7.5 / 8
L. Nance1359%6.5 / 11
K. Love1033%5.0 / 15
T. Thompson758%3.5 / 6
M. Chriss758%3.5 / 6
B. Knight542%2.5 / 6
N. Stauskas5125%2.5 / 2
D. Nwaba250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
89
+12
-10
101
CLE
83
+9
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.4%
CLE
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
107.4
BOS 117.2 +7.9
CLE 109.3
Pace
100.0
96.9
BOS 104.0 +11.4
CLE 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.1
BOS 13.8 +1.7
CLE 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.3%
BOS 56.0% +1.6%
CLE 54.4%
TO %
12.4%
13.0%
BOS 9.1% +5.1%
CLE 14.2%
ORB %
21.7%
23.7%
BOS 25.0% +17.1%
CLE 7.9%
FTrt
21.5
23.6
BOS 20.9
CLE 31.3 +10.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
53.2%
BOS 50.0%
CLE 61.5% +11.5%
STL %
8.5%
6.7%
BOS 8.1% +4.0%
CLE 4.1%
BLK %
9.7%
4.3%
BOS 5.8% +4.3%
CLE 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.5%
BOS 57.4% +0.4%
CLE 57.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
57.5%
BOS 70.6% +9.1%
CLE 61.5%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.5%
BOS 37.5%
CLE 53.8% +16.3%
3P %
36.5%
35.5%
BOS 40.0% +7.9%
CLE 32.1%
FT %
80.2%
79.2%
BOS 73.7%
CLE 76.0% +2.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
34.5%
BOS 37.4% +4.9%
CLE 32.5%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
32.2%
BOS 35.2%
CLE 32.5% +2.7%
3P Att. %
38.1%
33.2%
BOS 27.5%
CLE 35.0% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSCLE
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points116106
Rebounds4636
Assists2324
Steals84
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)14 (1)
Fouls2121
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)3 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)33 (3)
Field Goals46-9139-80
At-the-Rim FG24-3416-26
Midrange FG12-3214-26
2-Point FG36-6630-52
3-Point FG10-259-28
Free Throws14-1919-25
Fast Break Pts116
2nd Chance Pts137
Points in Paint5246
Pts off Turnovers1412
Bench Points4045
Biggest Lead124

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
33.8
21
62%
5
4
1
0
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
6-12
50%
3-5
60%
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
33.1
21
70%
6
4
3
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
29.0
11
46%
5
2
2
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
26.5
19
86%
8
5
0
1
2
1
2
6
5-6
83%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
24.8
4
100%
2
1
0
1
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
30.2
15
63%
5
4
1
0
3
1
0
5
1-2
50%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30
29.3
14
41%
6
2
1
0
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
2-7
29%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
17.9
9
56%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
6.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Contusion
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
Inactive - Rest | Load Management
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
57%
46
23
8
3
10
21
11
35
14-19
74%
36-66
55%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.