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All Games Sunday, March 24, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Spurs
44%110
115
10
Celtics
56%112
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
118.69788.2
BOS logo BOS
99.097107.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
96
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.4%
BOS
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
20
65%
BOS
21
36
58%
Midrange
SAS
29
54
54%
BOS
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
BOS
7
10.5
35
20%
30%
Free Throws
SAS
7
8
88%
BOS
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge4883%24.0 / 29
D. DeRozan1647%8.0 / 17
P. Mills1286%6.0 / 7
D. Bertans975%4.5 / 6
R. Gay770%3.5 / 5
J. Poeltl650%3.0 / 6
M. Belinelli542%2.5 / 6
D. White429%2.0 / 7
B. Forbes433%2.0 / 6
L. Walker IV2100%1.0 / 1
D. Cunningham2100%1.0 / 1
D. Eubanks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Smart1447%7.0 / 15
G. Hayward1350%6.5 / 13
M. Morris1350%6.5 / 13
K. Irving1132%5.5 / 17
D. Theis1169%5.5 / 8
A. Baynes990%4.5 / 5
J. Brown732%3.5 / 11
G. Yabusele788%3.5 / 4
T. Rozier429%2.0 / 7
G. Monroe467%2.0 / 3
S. Ojeleye375%1.5 / 2
B. Wanamaker0-0.0 / 0
P. Dozier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
89
+13
-8
102
BOS
89
+15
-8
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.4%
BOS
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.8
SAS 118.6
BOS 99.0 +19.6
Pace
98.6
100.0
SAS 88.2
BOS 107.8 +19.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
SAS 16.3
BOS 13.4 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
53.4%
SAS 55.1% +11.0%
BOS 44.1%
TO %
11.9%
12.4%
SAS 7.3%
BOS 7.3%
ORB %
20.9%
21.7%
SAS 24.4% +2.8%
BOS 21.6%
FTrt
23.7
21.5
SAS 8.2
BOS 17.0 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
62.4%
SAS 64.0% +3.5%
BOS 60.5%
STL %
6.2%
8.5%
SAS 1.0%
BOS 4.1% +3.1%
BLK %
8.3%
9.7%
SAS 6.8% +4.1%
BOS 2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.3%
SAS 56.4% +10.2%
BOS 46.2%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.6%
SAS 65.0% +6.7%
BOS 58.3%
Mid FG%
44.0%
43.1%
SAS 53.7% +10.2%
BOS 43.5%
3P %
39.2%
36.5%
SAS 33.3% +13.3%
BOS 20.0%
FT %
81.8%
80.2%
SAS 87.5% +6.2%
BOS 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
32.1%
SAS 20.4%
BOS 38.3% +17.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
29.8%
SAS 55.1%
BOS 24.5% +30.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
38.1%
SAS 24.5%
BOS 37.2% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASBOS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points11596
Rebounds5145
Assists3223
Steals14
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)8 (0)
Fouls1914
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals50-9838-94
At-the-Rim FG13-2021-36
Midrange FG29-5410-23
2-Point FG42-7431-59
3-Point FG8-247-35
Free Throws7-813-16
Fast Break Pts817
2nd Chance Pts1017
Points in Paint4848
Pts off Turnovers1610
Bench Points3736
Biggest Lead252

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
37.4
48
83%
13
6
0
1
3
5
3
10
7-8
88%
19-30
63%
1-1
100%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
35.9
16
47%
0
11
0
2
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
8-18
44%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
27.8
4
29%
4
5
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
25.0
6
50%
10
0
0
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
21.3
4
33%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
24.0
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
21.9
12
86%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
21.8
7
70%
9
3
0
0
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
18.2
9
75%
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-6
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
2.4
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
2.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
1.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL Tear
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
56%
51
32
1
4
8
19
11
40
7-8
88%
42-74
57%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.