FinalWin Prob.pScore
2217%106
115
183%120
114
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
125.09296.9
TOR logo TOR
123.99287.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHATOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
114
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.4%
TOR
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
18
32
56%
TOR
23
29
79%
Midrange
CHA
5
20
25%
TOR
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
18
27.0
41
44%
66%
TOR
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
CHA
15
17
88%
TOR
13
13
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Bacon2077%10.0 / 13
M. Bridges1667%8.0 / 12
K. Walker1538%7.5 / 20
J. Lamb1359%6.5 / 11
W. Hernangomez1365%6.5 / 10
M. Williams1083%5.0 / 6
D. Graham1056%5.0 / 9
F. Kaminsky964%4.5 / 7
B. Biyombo675%3.0 / 4
M. Monk330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2878%14.0 / 18
P. Siakam2372%11.5 / 16
M. Gasol1794%8.5 / 9
F. VanVleet1275%6.0 / 8
S. Ibaka10100%5.0 / 5
N. Powell10100%5.0 / 5
K. Lowry770%3.5 / 5
O. Anunoby350%1.5 / 3
D. Green220%1.0 / 5
P. McCaw250%1.0 / 2
J. Lin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
85
+17
-7
102
TOR
79
+7
-13
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.4%
TOR
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.1
CHA 125.0 +1.1
TOR 123.9
Pace
98.7
100.2
CHA 96.9 +9.4
TOR 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.4
CHA 14.9 +1.6
TOR 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
54.3%
CHA 53.8%
TOR 65.6% +11.8%
TO %
11.7%
13.2%
CHA 7.4% +6.2%
TOR 13.6%
ORB %
21.9%
21.8%
CHA 30.4% +19.7%
TOR 10.7%
FTrt
25.7
24.7
CHA 18.3 +1.4
TOR 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.3%
CHA 78.0% +13.6%
TOR 64.4%
STL %
7.2%
8.2%
CHA 13.0% +6.5%
TOR 6.5%
BLK %
8.9%
9.1%
CHA 5.9%
TOR 21.2% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.5%
CHA 56.4%
TOR 65.5% +9.1%
Rim FG%
56.9%
61.6%
CHA 56.3%
TOR 79.3% +23.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.1%
CHA 25.0%
TOR 50.0% +25.0%
3P %
35.1%
36.6%
CHA 43.9% +1.6%
TOR 42.3%
FT %
79.7%
80.4%
CHA 88.2%
TOR 100.0% +11.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
36.4%
CHA 34.4%
TOR 37.7% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
25.6%
CHA 21.5% +7.1%
TOR 28.6%
3P Att. %
37.8%
37.9%
CHA 44.1% +10.3%
TOR 33.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHATOR
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points115114
Rebounds3935
Assists3229
Steals126
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals41-9345-77
At-the-Rim FG18-3223-29
Midrange FG5-2011-22
2-Point FG23-5234-51
3-Point FG18-4111-26
Free Throws15-1713-13
Fast Break Pts1416
2nd Chance Pts209
Points in Paint4258
Pts off Turnovers1810
Bench Points4837
Biggest Lead1412

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
35.4
15
38%
8
13
4
0
1
2
3
5
7-7
100%
1-10
10%
2-7
29%
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 24
33.3
20
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
5-8
63%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
33.2
16
67%
6
1
1
1
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
20.7
10
83%
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
12.1
6
75%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
25.0
13
59%
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
3-4
75%
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
23.7
9
64%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
21.7
10
56%
3
9
2
0
1
3
2
1
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
20.0
13
65%
10
4
0
0
0
0
4
6
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
2-2
100%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
14.9
3
30%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Personal
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Soreness
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Concussion Protocol
#5 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
56%
39
32
12
3
7
17
14
25
15-17
88%
23-52
44%
18-41
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.