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All Games Sunday, March 24, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Nuggets
57%110
88
18
Pacers
43%107
124
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
88.010095.4
IND logo IND
124.0100105.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.85 42.7%
IND
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
32
53%
IND
30
45
67%
Midrange
DEN
9
32
28%
IND
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
IND
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
DEN
15
16
94%
IND
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić1963%9.5 / 15
W. Barton1568%7.5 / 11
M. Morris1250%6.0 / 12
G. Harris1192%5.5 / 6
P. Millsap633%3.0 / 9
T. Craig550%2.5 / 5
J. Murray418%2.0 / 11
M. Plumlee450%2.0 / 4
M. Beasley429%2.0 / 7
J. Vanderbilt467%2.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez217%1.0 / 6
T. Lyles217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic3597%17.5 / 18
M. Turner1753%8.5 / 16
D. Sabonis1563%7.5 / 12
T. Evans1169%5.5 / 8
A. Holiday1161%5.5 / 9
T. Young857%4.0 / 7
W. Matthews857%4.0 / 7
D. McDermott857%4.0 / 7
T. Leaf563%2.5 / 4
K. O'Quinn4100%2.0 / 2
C. Joseph225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+20
-17
103
IND
89
+12
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.85 42.7%
IND
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.8
DEN 88.0 +36.0
IND 124.0
Pace
98.0
98.2
DEN 95.4
IND 105.0 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.6
DEN 15.1
IND 13.7 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.9%
DEN 39.2%
IND 60.4% +21.2%
TO %
13.1%
13.5%
DEN 14.5%
IND 10.0% +4.5%
ORB %
26.6%
21.9%
DEN 27.8%
IND 27.8%
FTrt
23.2
24.2
DEN 17.2
IND 18.7 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
62.8%
DEN 63.6%
IND 66.7% +3.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.9%
DEN 5.0%
IND 9.0% +4.0%
BLK %
8.2%
9.2%
DEN 9.6% +1.8%
IND 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.8%
DEN 42.7%
IND 61.4% +18.7%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.4%
DEN 53.1%
IND 66.7% +13.6%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.1%
DEN 28.1%
IND 46.4% +18.3%
3P %
35.1%
37.4%
DEN 24.1%
IND 44.4% +20.3%
FT %
75.5%
75.1%
DEN 93.8% +11.4%
IND 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
38.7%
DEN 34.4%
IND 49.5% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
32.2%
DEN 34.4%
IND 30.8% +3.6%
3P Att. %
34.8%
29.1%
DEN 31.2% +11.4%
IND 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points88124
Rebounds4149
Assists2134
Steals59
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)39 (2)
Field Goals33-9351-91
At-the-Rim FG17-3230-45
Midrange FG9-3213-28
2-Point FG26-6443-73
3-Point FG7-298-18
Free Throws15-1614-17
Fast Break Pts1129
2nd Chance Pts2815
Points in Paint4272
Pts off Turnovers1225
Bench Points3354
Biggest Lead241

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
29.5
19
63%
11
8
1
4
1
2
3
8
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
27.9
4
18%
5
5
1
0
4
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
27.1
6
33%
5
1
1
0
1
3
3
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
26.2
11
92%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
24.1
15
68%
3
1
0
0
4
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-5
60%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
23.0
12
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-3
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
21.1
5
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
16.8
4
50%
3
2
0
1
3
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
13.6
4
29%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
12.0
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-5
0%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
9.3
2
17%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
9.3
4
67%
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
43%
41
21
5
7
17
17
15
26
15-16
94%
26-64
41%
7-29
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.