FinalWin Prob.pScore
2716%105
105
784%120
127
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
105.010099.2
MIL logo MIL
124.5102102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
127
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.00 50.0%
MIL
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
16
30
53%
MIL
23
31
74%
Midrange
CLE
14
25
56%
MIL
10
15
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
41
27%
40%
MIL
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
Free Throws
CLE
12
17
71%
MIL
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Love2053%10.0 / 19
J. Clarkson1959%9.5 / 16
C. Sexton1853%9.0 / 17
L. Nance1372%6.5 / 9
T. Thompson1063%5.0 / 8
C. Osman941%4.5 / 11
D. Nwaba880%4.0 / 5
N. Stauskas675%3.0 / 4
B. Knight214%1.0 / 7
M. Chriss0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2676%13.0 / 17
K. Middleton1750%8.5 / 17
G. Hill1794%8.5 / 9
B. Lopez1478%7.0 / 9
E. Bledsoe1267%6.0 / 9
T. Snell1286%6.0 / 7
S. Brown1286%6.0 / 7
P. Connaughton945%4.5 / 10
D. Wilson338%1.5 / 4
B. Colson375%1.5 / 2
E. Ilyasova250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
88
+16
-12
104
MIL
93
+6
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.00 50.0%
MIL
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
113.9
CLE 105.0
MIL 124.5 +19.5
Pace
96.9
103.2
CLE 99.2
MIL 102.9 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
13.9
CLE 14.5
MIL 14.0 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
55.0%
CLE 48.4%
MIL 63.8% +15.4%
TO %
13.0%
12.8%
CLE 10.4%
MIL 8.6% +1.8%
ORB %
23.7%
20.8%
CLE 22.6% +11.8%
MIL 10.8%
FTrt
23.6
25.5
CLE 17.7
MIL 24.1 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.2%
60.1%
CLE 56.1% +1.9%
MIL 54.2%
STL %
6.7%
7.2%
CLE 6.0%
MIL 7.8% +1.8%
BLK %
4.3%
10.4%
CLE 2.2%
MIL 12.7% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
57.1%
CLE 50.0%
MIL 64.1% +14.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.1%
CLE 53.3%
MIL 74.2% +20.9%
Mid FG%
39.5%
39.4%
CLE 56.0%
MIL 66.7% +10.7%
3P %
35.5%
35.2%
CLE 26.8%
MIL 36.6% +9.8%
FT %
79.2%
77.2%
CLE 70.6%
MIL 76.2% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
40.2%
CLE 31.3%
MIL 35.6% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
17.8%
CLE 26.0%
MIL 17.2% +8.8%
3P Att. %
33.2%
42.0%
CLE 42.7%
MIL 47.1% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIL
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points105127
Rebounds4545
Assists2326
Steals68
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2113
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)41 (1)
Field Goals41-9648-87
At-the-Rim FG16-3023-31
Midrange FG14-2510-15
2-Point FG30-5533-46
3-Point FG11-4115-41
Free Throws12-1716-21
Fast Break Pts1322
2nd Chance Pts196
Points in Paint4656
Pts off Turnovers1418
Bench Points4346
Biggest Lead022

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20
36.7
18
53%
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
1-6
17%
#16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
33.2
9
41%
3
2
1
0
3
6
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
#0 · C · 6'8" 251 · 31
31.5
20
53%
19
3
0
1
1
1
5
14
0-0
-
4-10
40%
4-11
36%
#22 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26
30.1
13
72%
4
6
3
0
3
5
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
#20 · SG · 6'2" 182 · 27
21.7
2
14%
3
3
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 194 · 27
34.5
19
59%
3
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-5
80%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
#12 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 26
19.8
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 28
15.4
10
63%
6
1
0
0
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
13.4
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22
3.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#41 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PF · 6'11" 255 · 36
DNP - Coach's Decision
#32 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#18 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Concussion
#5 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 34
Inactive - Personal | NWT
#31 · C · 6'11" 229 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left wrist surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
50%
45
23
6
1
12
21
12
33
12-17
71%
30-55
55%
11-41
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.