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All Games Saturday, March 23, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Mavericks
22%106
126
3
Warriors
78%118
91
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
132.69588.6
GSW logo GSW
95.895102.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALGSW
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.126
100%
91
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.31 65.6%
GSW
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
10
13
77%
GSW
15
21
71%
Midrange
DAL
13
21
62%
GSW
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
21
31.5
49
43%
64%
GSW
4
6.0
30
13%
20%
Free Throws
DAL
17
22
77%
GSW
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2364%11.5 / 18
D. Nowitzki2175%10.5 / 14
R. Broekhoff17106%8.5 / 8
M. Kleber16114%8.0 / 7
T. Burke1381%6.5 / 8
J. Brunson1169%5.5 / 8
J. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
D. Harris660%3.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith5125%2.5 / 2
D. Powell467%2.0 / 3
K. Antetokounmpo125%0.5 / 2
C. Lee0-0.0 / 1
D. Macon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2545%12.5 / 28
D. Cousins1986%9.5 / 11
K. Looney12100%6.0 / 6
K. Thompson831%4.0 / 13
Q. Cook735%3.5 / 10
D. Green660%3.0 / 5
A. McKinnie583%2.5 / 3
D. Lee440%2.0 / 5
J. Jerebko350%1.5 / 3
J. Bell217%1.0 / 6
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 3
J. Evans0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
86
+9
-9
95
GSW
85
+15
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.31 65.6%
GSW
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
115.5
DAL 132.6
GSW 95.8 +36.8
Pace
99.1
101.3
DAL 88.6
GSW 102.4 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.9
DAL 16.3
GSW 14.1 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
56.4%
DAL 65.7% +23.5%
GSW 42.2%
TO %
13.6%
13.5%
DAL 9.7%
GSW 9.2% +0.5%
ORB %
22.6%
22.5%
DAL 22.2% +5.9%
GSW 16.3%
FTrt
29.1
22.7
DAL 26.5 +3.2
GSW 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
66.8%
DAL 75.0% +13.9%
GSW 61.1%
STL %
6.5%
7.4%
DAL 7.4% +1.1%
GSW 6.3%
BLK %
7.6%
11.3%
DAL 3.3%
GSW 5.9% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
58.3%
DAL 65.6% +20.1%
GSW 45.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
66.3%
DAL 76.9% +5.5%
GSW 71.4%
Mid FG%
39.0%
45.8%
DAL 61.9% +18.3%
GSW 43.6%
3P %
34.0%
38.5%
DAL 42.9% +29.6%
GSW 13.3%
FT %
74.2%
80.1%
DAL 77.3% +5.9%
GSW 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
29.6%
DAL 15.7%
GSW 23.3% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
32.0%
DAL 25.3% +18.0%
GSW 43.3%
3P Att. %
42.2%
38.4%
DAL 59.0% +25.7%
GSW 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsDALGSW
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points12691
Rebounds4936
Assists3322
Steals76
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (0)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals44-8336-90
At-the-Rim FG10-1315-21
Midrange FG13-2117-39
2-Point FG23-3432-60
3-Point FG21-494-30
Free Throws17-2215-21
Fast Break Pts921
2nd Chance Pts1216
Points in Paint3450
Pts off Turnovers109
Bench Points5826
Biggest Lead430

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
27.4
23
64%
11
10
3
0
3
3
1
10
7-11
64%
2-3
67%
4-11
36%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
26.3
21
75%
5
1
0
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
25.9
4
67%
6
5
1
0
0
3
4
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
23.6
11
69%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
21.1
9
56%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
24.5
17
106%
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
23.6
16
114%
9
0
0
0
1
4
0
9
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
20.6
13
81%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
5-5
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
19.7
6
60%
1
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
13.3
5
125%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
4.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
4.7
1
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Surgery
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Tibia Stress Reaction
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
126
66%
49
33
7
2
9
22
8
41
17-22
77%
23-34
68%
21-49
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.