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All Games Saturday, March 23, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Heat
45%110
113
22
Wizards
55%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.99591.9
WAS logo WAS
114.99497.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
108
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.7%
WAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
33
67%
WAS
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
10
16
63%
WAS
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
39
31%
46%
WAS
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
13
19
68%
WAS
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2067%10.0 / 15
D. Waiters1986%9.5 / 11
J. Richardson1864%9.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1673%8.0 / 11
K. Olynyk1478%7.0 / 9
J. Johnson1354%6.5 / 12
G. Dragic945%4.5 / 10
D. Jones220%1.0 / 5
H. Whiteside250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2589%12.5 / 14
T. Bryant1771%8.5 / 12
B. Beal1653%8.0 / 15
B. Portis1447%7.0 / 15
T. Satoransky1243%6.0 / 14
T. Brown Jr.732%3.5 / 11
J. Parker627%3.0 / 11
C. Randle650%3.0 / 6
J. McRae542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+14
-11
98
WAS
82
+26
-12
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.7%
WAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
110.7
MIA 118.9 +4.1
WAS 114.9
Pace
98.1
101.7
MIA 91.9
WAS 97.3 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.8
MIA 15.7
WAS 14.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.1%
MIA 56.8% +9.4%
WAS 47.4%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 11.1%
WAS 10.2% +0.9%
ORB %
24.8%
21.2%
MIA 27.3%
WAS 39.6% +12.3%
FTrt
24.7
26.6
MIA 21.6
WAS 24.0 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
62.3%
MIA 65.9% +4.9%
WAS 61.0%
STL %
7.8%
8.1%
MIA 5.3%
WAS 5.3%
BLK %
10.2%
8.0%
MIA 15.2% +11.1%
WAS 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.6%
MIA 57.7% +8.2%
WAS 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
64.0%
MIA 66.7% +12.6%
WAS 54.1%
Mid FG%
36.8%
40.0%
MIA 62.5% +21.1%
WAS 41.4%
3P %
34.9%
34.0%
MIA 30.8% +0.8%
WAS 30.0%
FT %
69.5%
76.8%
MIA 68.4%
WAS 73.9% +5.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
37.3%
MIA 37.5%
WAS 38.5% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
25.7%
MIA 18.2% +12.0%
WAS 30.2%
3P Att. %
36.8%
37.0%
MIA 44.3% +13.1%
WAS 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points113108
Rebounds4453
Assists2925
Steals55
Blocks102
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (0)
Fouls2320
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)21 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (1)
Field Goals44-8841-96
At-the-Rim FG22-3320-37
Midrange FG10-1612-29
2-Point FG32-4932-66
3-Point FG12-399-30
Free Throws13-1917-23
Fast Break Pts87
2nd Chance Pts1422
Points in Paint4656
Pts off Turnovers1913
Bench Points4442
Biggest Lead1013

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 26
38.9
18
64%
2
5
2
1
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
4-5
80%
2-7
29%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
38.3
14
78%
7
5
2
3
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
35.1
16
73%
11
8
0
4
5
1
1
10
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
26.9
19
86%
3
3
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
15.5
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
29.3
9
45%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.0
20
67%
9
5
1
0
2
1
4
5
0-2
0%
7-10
70%
2-6
33%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
23.0
13
54%
5
0
0
1
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
5.0
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Anderson
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Charles Cooke
#4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh Bruise
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
58%
44
29
5
10
11
23
12
32
13-19
68%
32-49
65%
12-39
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.