for complete access.
All Games Saturday, March 23, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Celtics
63%114
117
23
Hornets
37%109
124
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
115.810194.5
CHA logo CHA
124.0100107.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.4%
CHA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
15
26
58%
CHA
22
40
55%
Midrange
BOS
10
24
42%
CHA
2
17
12%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
19
28.5
43
44%
66%
CHA
18
27.0
38
47%
71%
Free Throws
BOS
10
15
67%
CHA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3165%15.5 / 24
J. Brown2991%14.5 / 16
M. Morris1563%7.5 / 12
J. Tatum1235%6.0 / 17
T. Rozier1286%6.0 / 7
M. Smart630%3.0 / 10
D. Theis563%2.5 / 4
S. Ojeleye583%2.5 / 3
R. Williams250%1.0 / 2
G. Yabusele0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3669%18.0 / 26
M. Bridges2071%10.0 / 14
M. Williams1365%6.5 / 10
M. Monk1393%6.5 / 7
D. Bacon1150%5.5 / 11
J. Lamb840%4.0 / 10
W. Hernangomez850%4.0 / 8
F. Kaminsky770%3.5 / 5
B. Biyombo450%2.0 / 4
D. Graham429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
91
+10
-10
101
CHA
89
+19
-11
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.4%
CHA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
111.3
BOS 115.8
CHA 124.0 +8.2
Pace
100.0
98.7
BOS 94.5
CHA 107.4 +12.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.6
BOS 15.2
CHA 13.4 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.4%
BOS 57.5% +3.8%
CHA 53.7%
TO %
12.4%
11.7%
BOS 9.9%
CHA 9.3% +0.6%
ORB %
21.7%
21.9%
BOS 15.2%
CHA 28.6% +13.4%
FTrt
21.5
25.7
BOS 16.1
CHA 29.5 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
57.8%
BOS 70.5% +8.6%
CHA 61.9%
STL %
8.5%
7.2%
BOS 5.9%
CHA 7.0% +1.1%
BLK %
9.7%
8.9%
BOS 14.0% +4.0%
CHA 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.2%
BOS 57.4% +0.5%
CHA 56.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
56.9%
BOS 57.7% +2.7%
CHA 55.0%
Mid FG%
43.1%
41.7%
BOS 41.7% +29.9%
CHA 11.8%
3P %
36.5%
35.1%
BOS 44.2%
CHA 47.4% +3.2%
FT %
80.2%
79.7%
BOS 66.7%
CHA 78.6% +11.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
36.6%
BOS 28.0%
CHA 42.1% +14.1%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
25.7%
BOS 25.8%
CHA 17.9% +7.9%
3P Att. %
38.1%
37.8%
BOS 46.2% +6.2%
CHA 40.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSCHA
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points117124
Rebounds4253
Assists3126
Steals67
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2315
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)39 (2)
Field Goals44-9342-95
At-the-Rim FG15-2622-40
Midrange FG10-242-17
2-Point FG25-5024-57
3-Point FG19-4318-38
Free Throws10-1522-28
Fast Break Pts1711
2nd Chance Pts224
Points in Paint3846
Pts off Turnovers1715
Bench Points5140
Biggest Lead188

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
36.9
12
35%
6
4
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
2-7
29%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30
35.5
15
63%
9
4
1
1
1
4
3
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-5
60%
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
34.7
31
65%
7
6
2
0
3
5
0
7
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
4-11
36%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
25.3
6
30%
2
8
1
0
3
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
9.5
2
50%
3
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
30.4
29
91%
4
4
1
2
1
2
0
4
4-7
57%
5-7
71%
5-6
83%
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
22.6
12
86%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
17.9
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
16.2
5
63%
3
1
0
2
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
11.0
5
83%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
RJ Hunter
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
PJ Dozier
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | concussion protocol
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left ankle soreness
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left knee soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
57%
42
31
6
8
10
23
7
35
10-15
67%
25-50
50%
19-43
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.