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All Games Friday, March 22, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Spurs
31%110
105
1
Rockets
69%117
111
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.19998.5
HOU logo HOU
112.19999.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
30
70%
HOU
11
22
50%
Midrange
SAS
13
36
36%
HOU
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
HOU
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
Free Throws
SAS
16
17
94%
HOU
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Forbes20125%10.0 / 8
D. White1864%9.0 / 14
D. DeRozan1642%8.0 / 19
M. Belinelli1169%5.5 / 8
L. Aldridge1042%5.0 / 12
P. Mills857%4.0 / 7
J. Poeltl880%4.0 / 5
R. Gay770%3.5 / 5
L. Walker IV450%2.0 / 4
D. Bertans317%1.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden6180%30.5 / 38
C. Paul1856%9.0 / 16
E. Gordon1246%6.0 / 13
C. Capela750%3.5 / 7
G. Green583%2.5 / 3
Nene440%2.0 / 5
I. Shumpert338%1.5 / 4
D. House110%0.5 / 5
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
88
+9
-11
97
HOU
90
+11
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.1%
HOU
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
115.4
SAS 106.1
HOU 112.1 +6.1
Pace
98.6
98.0
SAS 98.5
HOU 99.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
SAS 14.6
HOU 14.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.2%
SAS 49.4%
HOU 50.0% +0.6%
TO %
11.9%
12.8%
SAS 10.1%
HOU 9.1% +1.0%
ORB %
20.9%
22.8%
SAS 18.4% +1.4%
HOU 17.0%
FTrt
23.7
27.9
SAS 18.9
HOU 37.2 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.1%
SAS 65.9% +32.6%
HOU 33.3%
STL %
6.2%
8.6%
SAS 6.1% +1.0%
HOU 5.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.7%
SAS 14.3% +8.2%
HOU 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.9%
SAS 54.1% +0.2%
HOU 53.9%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.6%
SAS 70.0% +20.0%
HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.8%
SAS 36.1%
HOU 40.7% +4.6%
3P %
39.2%
35.6%
SAS 29.2%
HOU 37.8% +8.6%
FT %
81.8%
79.1%
SAS 94.1% +16.0%
HOU 78.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
33.9%
SAS 33.3% +7.8%
HOU 25.6%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
14.2%
SAS 40.0%
HOU 31.4% +8.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
51.9%
SAS 26.7%
HOU 43.0% +16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points105111
Rebounds4848
Assists2712
Steals65
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)9 (1)
Fouls2319
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (4)40 (1)
Field Goals41-9036-86
At-the-Rim FG21-3011-22
Midrange FG13-3611-27
2-Point FG34-6622-49
3-Point FG7-2414-37
Free Throws16-1725-32
Fast Break Pts1611
2nd Chance Pts68
Points in Paint5636
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points3413
Biggest Lead619

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
36.2
20
125%
5
2
0
0
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
3-3
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 34
33.3
10
42%
4
4
0
5
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
32.6
16
42%
8
8
1
0
2
5
1
7
2-2
100%
7-19
37%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
32.5
18
64%
8
3
2
0
1
1
2
6
7-7
100%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 33
21.5
7
70%
9
0
1
0
3
5
0
9
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
26.5
3
17%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-10
10%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
20.4
11
69%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
15.5
8
57%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
14.7
8
80%
8
0
1
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
6.7
4
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
48
27
6
7
11
23
9
39
16-17
94%
34-66
52%
7-24
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.