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All Games Friday, March 22, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Nuggets
80%118
111
30
Knicks
20%106
93
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
118.19492.0
NYK logo NYK
100.09395.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KnicksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNYK
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
93
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 52.9%
NYK
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
38
53%
NYK
16
36
44%
Midrange
DEN
5
20
25%
NYK
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
15
22.5
38
39%
59%
NYK
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
DEN
16
19
84%
NYK
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2150%10.5 / 21
J. Murray1864%9.0 / 14
G. Harris1488%7.0 / 8
M. Morris1393%6.5 / 7
W. Barton1243%6.0 / 14
M. Plumlee1179%5.5 / 7
P. Millsap831%4.0 / 13
M. Beasley840%4.0 / 10
T. Craig675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Mudiay2153%10.5 / 20
K. Knox1953%9.5 / 18
M. Robinson16100%8.0 / 8
D. Jordan758%3.5 / 6
M. Hezonja744%3.5 / 8
D. Dotson633%3.0 / 9
F. Ntilikina536%2.5 / 7
L. Thomas338%1.5 / 4
K. Allen319%1.5 / 8
H. Ellenson350%1.5 / 3
J. Jenkins375%1.5 / 2
L. Kornet0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
86
+19
-8
105
NYK
86
+12
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 52.9%
NYK
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
104.5
DEN 118.1 +18.1
NYK 100.0
Pace
98.0
99.6
DEN 92.0
NYK 95.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.5
DEN 15.6
NYK 15.2 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
49.0%
DEN 49.5% +6.7%
NYK 42.8%
TO %
13.1%
13.4%
DEN 7.9%
NYK 6.6% +1.3%
ORB %
26.6%
22.2%
DEN 31.5% +16.4%
NYK 15.1%
FTrt
23.2
27.0
DEN 19.8
NYK 23.3 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
52.5%
DEN 60.0% +1.2%
NYK 58.8%
STL %
7.9%
6.7%
DEN 5.3% +2.1%
NYK 3.2%
BLK %
8.2%
9.0%
DEN 8.6%
NYK 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
51.8%
DEN 52.9% +6.4%
NYK 46.5%
Rim FG%
59.6%
56.1%
DEN 52.6% +8.2%
NYK 44.4%
Mid FG%
43.3%
37.8%
DEN 25.0%
NYK 40.9% +15.9%
3P %
35.1%
34.0%
DEN 39.5% +11.4%
NYK 28.1%
FT %
75.5%
75.8%
DEN 84.2% +8.0%
NYK 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.9%
DEN 39.6%
NYK 40.0% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
29.6%
DEN 20.8% +3.6%
NYK 24.4%
3P Att. %
34.8%
33.4%
DEN 39.6% +4.0%
NYK 35.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENNYK
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points11193
Rebounds6245
Assists2420
Steals53
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)7 (0)
Fouls1515
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)45 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals40-9634-90
At-the-Rim FG20-3816-36
Midrange FG5-209-22
2-Point FG25-5825-58
3-Point FG15-389-32
Free Throws16-1916-21
Fast Break Pts115
2nd Chance Pts2411
Points in Paint4238
Pts off Turnovers129
Bench Points3833
Biggest Lead241

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
33.1
18
64%
5
5
2
2
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
1-6
17%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
31.6
12
43%
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-6
33%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
31.6
8
31%
9
4
0
0
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
28.2
21
50%
17
5
0
0
1
3
4
13
4-6
67%
7-17
41%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
25.8
14
88%
5
0
2
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-5
80%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
23.5
11
79%
9
4
0
1
0
0
3
6
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
22.2
8
40%
5
1
0
1
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
19.8
13
93%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
12.2
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
2.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
62
24
5
5
8
15
17
45
16-19
84%
25-58
43%
15-38
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.