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All Games Thursday, March 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Mavericks
33%110
100
16
Kings
67%116
116
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
103.19790.8
SAC logo SAC
117.299106.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.96 48.1%
SAC
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
34
44%
SAC
23
41
56%
Midrange
DAL
9
18
50%
SAC
5
11
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
40
30%
45%
SAC
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
DAL
16
23
70%
SAC
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson1979%9.5 / 12
D. Powell1488%7.0 / 8
L. Dončić1333%6.5 / 20
R. Broekhoff13108%6.5 / 6
J. Brunson1038%5.0 / 13
T. Burke941%4.5 / 11
D. Harris880%4.0 / 5
M. Kleber563%2.5 / 4
D. Nowitzki330%1.5 / 5
D. Finney-Smith220%1.0 / 5
S. Mejri250%1.0 / 2
C. Lee250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2969%14.5 / 21
M. Bagley2273%11.0 / 15
H. Barnes1662%8.0 / 13
D. Fox1550%7.5 / 15
W. Cauley-Stein1063%5.0 / 8
Y. Ferrell956%4.5 / 8
B. Bogdanović739%3.5 / 9
N. Bjelica675%3.0 / 4
C. Brewer250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
90
+12
-7
102
SAC
87
+15
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.96 48.1%
SAC
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.0
DAL 103.1
SAC 117.2 +14.1
Pace
99.1
103.5
DAL 90.8
SAC 106.3 +15.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.3
DAL 15.9
SAC 13.5 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.4%
DAL 45.7%
SAC 54.6% +8.9%
TO %
13.6%
12.4%
DAL 7.3% +3.5%
SAC 10.8%
ORB %
22.6%
23.1%
DAL 16.4%
SAC 26.1% +9.7%
FTrt
29.1
24.4
DAL 25.0
SAC 32.2 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
58.8%
DAL 63.9% +5.4%
SAC 58.5%
STL %
6.5%
8.0%
DAL 5.2%
SAC 7.1% +1.9%
BLK %
7.6%
7.9%
DAL 11.5%
SAC 17.3% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.1%
DAL 48.1%
SAC 56.9% +8.8%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.3%
DAL 44.1%
SAC 56.1% +12.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.8%
DAL 50.0% +4.5%
SAC 45.5%
3P %
34.0%
37.8%
DAL 30.0%
SAC 37.1% +7.1%
FT %
74.2%
72.6%
DAL 69.6%
SAC 75.0% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
36.7%
DAL 37.0%
SAC 47.1% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
31.1%
DAL 19.6%
SAC 12.6% +6.9%
3P Att. %
42.2%
32.2%
DAL 43.5% +3.2%
SAC 40.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALSAC
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points100116
Rebounds4358
Assists2324
Steals57
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)12 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)46 (1)
Field Goals36-9241-87
At-the-Rim FG15-3423-41
Midrange FG9-185-11
2-Point FG24-5228-52
3-Point FG12-4013-35
Free Throws16-2321-28
Fast Break Pts631
2nd Chance Pts1620
Points in Paint4050
Pts off Turnovers118
Bench Points3940
Biggest Lead819

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
32.8
5
63%
7
2
1
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
32.7
19
79%
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-1
0%
8-10
80%
1-6
17%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
29.9
14
88%
4
5
1
2
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
27.7
10
38%
3
2
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
0-4
0%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
26.0
13
33%
10
3
0
0
1
1
1
9
3-5
60%
2-9
22%
2-10
20%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
20.1
8
80%
3
4
1
0
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
19.2
9
41%
1
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
16.8
13
108%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
4-6
67%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
12.6
3
30%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
10.5
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
8.7
2
50%
3
0
0
3
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
3.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Tibia Stress Reaction
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
48%
43
23
5
6
7
22
9
34
16-23
70%
24-52
46%
12-40
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.