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All Games Thursday, March 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Nuggets
68%119
113
22
Wizards
32%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
122.89287.6
WAS logo WAS
117.49296.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENWAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
108
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.1%
WAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
34
62%
WAS
24
31
77%
Midrange
DEN
11
23
48%
WAS
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
WAS
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
Free Throws
DEN
7
11
64%
WAS
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1583%7.5 / 9
N. Jokić1563%7.5 / 12
G. Harris1547%7.5 / 16
J. Murray1563%7.5 / 12
T. Craig1568%7.5 / 11
W. Barton1372%6.5 / 9
M. Morris1192%5.5 / 6
M. Beasley1063%5.0 / 8
M. Plumlee467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal2563%12.5 / 20
T. Bryant22100%11.0 / 11
B. Portis1875%9.0 / 12
T. Satoransky1689%8.0 / 9
T. Brown Jr.1365%6.5 / 10
J. Parker630%3.0 / 10
J. Green536%2.5 / 7
W. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
C. Randle0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+10
-8
94
WAS
80
+9
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.1%
WAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.7
DEN 122.8 +5.4
WAS 117.4
Pace
98.0
101.7
DEN 87.6
WAS 96.9 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.8
DEN 16.4
WAS 14.9 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
53.1%
DEN 60.9% +5.2%
WAS 55.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.2%
DEN 8.0% +4.0%
WAS 12.0%
ORB %
26.6%
21.2%
DEN 22.0% +5.8%
WAS 16.2%
FTrt
23.2
26.6
DEN 12.6
WAS 26.6 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
62.3%
DEN 65.2% +2.7%
WAS 62.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
DEN 9.8% +5.5%
WAS 4.3%
BLK %
8.2%
8.0%
DEN 7.8% +4.3%
WAS 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.6%
DEN 60.1%
WAS 60.7% +0.6%
Rim FG%
59.6%
64.0%
DEN 61.8%
WAS 77.4% +15.6%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.0%
DEN 47.8% +7.8%
WAS 40.0%
3P %
35.1%
34.0%
DEN 46.7% +18.1%
WAS 28.6%
FT %
75.5%
76.8%
DEN 63.6%
WAS 95.2% +31.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
37.3%
DEN 39.1%
WAS 39.2% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
25.7%
DEN 26.4%
WAS 25.3% +1.1%
3P Att. %
34.8%
37.0%
DEN 34.5%
WAS 35.4% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENWAS
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points113108
Rebounds4038
Assists3025
Steals94
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2015
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)32 (2)
Field Goals46-8740-79
At-the-Rim FG21-3424-31
Midrange FG11-238-20
2-Point FG32-5732-51
3-Point FG14-308-28
Free Throws7-1120-21
Fast Break Pts2316
2nd Chance Pts144
Points in Paint5856
Pts off Turnovers1711
Bench Points4014
Biggest Lead1410

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
4 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
35.3
15
83%
6
2
3
1
3
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.9
15
63%
6
11
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
29.2
15
47%
5
1
2
0
0
3
4
1
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
26.1
15
63%
4
2
0
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
19.9
13
72%
4
1
0
0
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
25.8
4
67%
11
4
1
0
1
2
1
10
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
25.2
15
68%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
22.9
11
92%
0
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
20.8
10
63%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Surgery
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
60%
40
30
9
4
8
20
9
31
7-11
64%
32-57
56%
14-30
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.