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All Games Thursday, March 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Timberwolves
49%113
106
24
Hornets
51%114
113
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
102.9103104.8
CHA logo CHA
109.7103101.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.03 51.5%
CHA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
21
37
57%
CHA
21
47
45%
Midrange
MIN
8
23
35%
CHA
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
CHA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIN
18
29
62%
CHA
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns2158%10.5 / 18
A. Wiggins2059%10.0 / 17
D. Šarić1568%7.5 / 11
T. Jones1447%7.0 / 15
J. Okogie1045%5.0 / 11
G. Dieng1056%5.0 / 9
A. Tolliver660%3.0 / 5
C. Reynolds675%3.0 / 4
J. Bayless233%1.0 / 3
K. Bates-Diop250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3157%15.5 / 27
M. Monk1470%7.0 / 10
M. Williams13108%6.5 / 6
J. Lamb1336%6.5 / 18
M. Bridges1169%5.5 / 8
W. Hernangomez10100%5.0 / 5
B. Biyombo880%4.0 / 5
D. Graham542%2.5 / 6
D. Bacon422%2.0 / 9
N. Batum220%1.0 / 5
F. Kaminsky214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
90
+13
-13
103
CHA
93
+19
-10
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.03 51.5%
CHA
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.3
MIN 102.9
CHA 109.7 +6.8
Pace
100.2
98.7
MIN 104.8 +3.6
CHA 101.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.6
MIN 13.7 +0.5
CHA 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
51.4%
MIN 50.0% +2.5%
CHA 47.5%
TO %
12.5%
11.7%
MIN 11.4%
CHA 8.3% +3.1%
ORB %
24.7%
21.9%
MIN 18.4%
CHA 27.3% +8.9%
FTrt
26.6
25.7
MIN 33.0 +9.0
CHA 24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
57.8%
MIN 59.0%
CHA 60.5% +1.5%
STL %
8.3%
7.2%
MIN 5.8% +0.9%
CHA 4.9%
BLK %
8.9%
8.9%
MIN 9.9%
CHA 10.0% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.2%
MIN 51.5% +0.6%
CHA 50.9%
Rim FG%
60.0%
56.9%
MIN 56.8% +12.1%
CHA 44.7%
Mid FG%
39.7%
41.7%
MIN 34.8%
CHA 54.2% +19.4%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
MIN 35.7% +4.7%
CHA 31.0%
FT %
78.7%
79.7%
MIN 62.1%
CHA 75.0% +12.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
36.6%
MIN 42.0%
CHA 47.0% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
25.7%
MIN 26.1%
CHA 24.0% +2.1%
3P Att. %
31.5%
37.8%
MIN 31.8% +2.8%
CHA 29.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINCHA
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points106113
Rebounds4955
Assists2326
Steals65
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2124
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)40 (1)
Field Goals39-8843-100
At-the-Rim FG21-3721-47
Midrange FG8-2313-24
2-Point FG29-6034-71
3-Point FG10-289-29
Free Throws18-2918-24
Fast Break Pts617
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint4854
Pts off Turnovers1416
Bench Points2646
Biggest Lead811

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 Minnesota Timberwolves
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrew Wiggins
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 24
37.5
20
59%
5
2
1
0
3
2
2
3
3-7
43%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
Tyus Jones
#1 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 23
34.2
14
47%
2
7
2
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
34.1
21
58%
16
6
1
2
4
3
3
13
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
2-4
50%
Josh Okogie
#20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 21
32.5
10
45%
3
2
0
2
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
5-7
71%
0-4
0%
Dario Saric
#36 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 25
28.4
15
68%
7
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
#43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34
18.0
6
60%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
Jerryd Bayless
#8 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
15.5
2
33%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Keita Bates-Diop
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 23
15.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
#5 · C · 6'11" 251 · 29
15.3
10
56%
5
0
2
2
2
1
0
5
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Cameron Reynolds
#13 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 24
8.9
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34
DNP - Injury/Illness | left calf strain
Jared Terrell
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
C.J. Williams
#12 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 29
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Robert Covington
#33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right knee bone bruise
Luol Deng
#9 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sore left achilles
Derrick Rose
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right elbow soreness
Jeff Teague
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left foot inflammation
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
52%
49
23
6
7
13
21
9
40
18-29
62%
29-60
48%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.