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All Games Wednesday, March 20, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Mavericks
33%110
118
9
Blazers
67%116
126
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
112.4105112.2
POR logo POR
120.010598.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.118
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.3%
POR
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
20
26
77%
POR
16
34
47%
Midrange
DAL
13
31
42%
POR
13
21
62%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
POR
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
Free Throws
DAL
22
25
88%
POR
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2475%12.0 / 16
J. Jackson2181%10.5 / 13
J. Brunson1689%8.0 / 9
T. Burke1568%7.5 / 11
T. Hardaway1464%7.0 / 11
S. Mejri7117%3.5 / 3
D. Powell563%2.5 / 4
D. Harris563%2.5 / 4
D. Nowitzki350%1.5 / 3
R. Broekhoff375%1.5 / 2
C. Lee220%1.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith225%1.0 / 4
K. Antetokounmpo117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3375%16.5 / 22
S. Curry2071%10.0 / 14
E. Kanter1458%7.0 / 12
J. Layman1359%6.5 / 11
J. Nurkić1372%6.5 / 9
M. Harkless1083%5.0 / 6
R. Hood880%4.0 / 5
A. Aminu650%3.0 / 6
E. Turner440%2.0 / 5
Z. Collins325%1.5 / 6
A. Simons250%1.0 / 2
G. Trent0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
94
+9
-11
103
POR
91
+13
-14
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.15 57.3%
POR
1.20 60.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
114.2
DAL 112.4
POR 120.0 +7.6
Pace
99.1
99.5
DAL 112.2 +13.6
POR 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.9
DAL 12.8 +1.8
POR 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.8%
DAL 55.2%
POR 58.2% +3.0%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 12.5%
POR 12.1% +0.4%
ORB %
22.6%
26.6%
DAL 14.0%
POR 27.5% +13.5%
FTrt
29.1
25.8
DAL 28.7 +1.2
POR 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
54.4%
DAL 46.5%
POR 51.1% +4.6%
STL %
6.5%
6.6%
DAL 7.6% +1.9%
POR 5.7%
BLK %
7.6%
8.3%
DAL 10.9% +3.9%
POR 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.6%
DAL 57.3%
POR 60.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.0%
DAL 76.9% +29.8%
POR 47.1%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.5%
DAL 41.9%
POR 61.9% +20.0%
3P %
34.0%
35.9%
DAL 33.3%
POR 44.4% +11.1%
FT %
74.2%
81.4%
DAL 88.0% +8.0%
POR 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
39.1%
DAL 29.9%
POR 37.4% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
27.0%
DAL 35.6%
POR 23.1% +12.6%
3P Att. %
42.2%
33.9%
DAL 34.5%
POR 39.6% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALPOR
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points118126
Rebounds3548
Assists2023
Steals86
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)14 (0)
Fouls2217
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)37 (1)
Field Goals43-8745-91
At-the-Rim FG20-2616-34
Midrange FG13-3113-21
2-Point FG33-5729-55
3-Point FG10-3016-36
Free Throws22-2520-25
Fast Break Pts1112
2nd Chance Pts713
Points in Paint5644
Pts off Turnovers1717
Bench Points5651
Biggest Lead225

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
28.8
24
75%
5
6
0
0
2
4
0
5
7-7
100%
7-12
58%
1-4
25%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
26.1
16
89%
2
3
2
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
25.8
5
63%
9
0
1
1
2
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
23.7
14
64%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
14.3
3
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
33.8
21
81%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
3-8
38%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
21.9
15
68%
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
18.4
7
117%
3
1
1
1
3
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
15.4
2
20%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
11.3
2
25%
2
1
0
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
9.6
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
5.9
1
17%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
5.2
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right achilles surgery
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee surgery
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left wrist sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
57%
35
20
8
6
11
22
6
29
22-25
88%
33-57
58%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.