| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 114.6 | 96 | 95.9 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
86
+10
-10
96
SAS
87
+11
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | SAS |
| Q4 - | End of 4th Quarter. | 110 100% | 105 0% | |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
21
71%
SAS
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
SAS
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
SAS
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
SAS
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dragic | 22 | 79% | 11.0 / 14 | |
| D. Waiters | 18 | 69% | 9.0 / 13 | |
| J. Richardson | 15 | 47% | 7.5 / 16 | |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 81% | 6.5 / 8 | |
| H. Whiteside | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| D. Wade | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| K. Olynyk | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| B. Adebayo | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| D. Jones | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Aldridge | 17 | 71% | 8.5 / 12 | |
| P. Mills | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| M. Belinelli | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| D. DeRozan | 16 | 57% | 8.0 / 14 | |
| R. Gay | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| D. Bertans | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| B. Forbes | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| D. White | 3 | 19% | 1.5 / 8 | |
| J. Poeltl | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
86
+10
-10
96
SAS
87
+11
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 112.6 | MIA 114.6 +4.1 SAS 110.5 |
| Pace | 98.1 98.6 | MIA 95.9 +0.9 SAS 95.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.0 15.0 | MIA 15.0 +0.1 SAS 15.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.5% 53.4% | MIA 55.8% +4.7% SAS 51.1% |
| TO % | 14.3% 11.9% | MIA 9.6% SAS 7.6% +2.0% |
| ORB % | 24.8% 20.9% | MIA 14.3% SAS 19.2% +4.9% |
| FTrt | 24.7 23.7 | MIA 20.9 SAS 23.9 +3.0 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 61.2% 58.0% | MIA 57.5% SAS 78.9% +21.4% |
| STL % | 7.8% 6.2% | MIA 6.3% +4.2% SAS 2.1% |
| BLK % | 10.2% 8.3% | MIA 9.3% +3.4% SAS 5.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.9% 56.0% | MIA 57.3% +4.3% SAS 53.0% |
| Rim FG% | 60.8% 62.7% | MIA 71.4% +23.3% SAS 48.1% |
| Mid FG% | 36.8% 44.0% | MIA 30.0% SAS 40.7% +10.7% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 39.2% | MIA 45.7% +4.5% SAS 41.2% |
| FT % | 69.5% 81.8% | MIA 77.8% +6.4% SAS 71.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.3% 27.8% | MIA 24.4% SAS 30.7% +6.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 25.9% 43.7% | MIA 34.9% SAS 30.7% +4.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 36.8% 28.6% | MIA 40.7% +2.1% SAS 38.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
| Game Totals | MIA | SAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.0 | 24.0 |
| Points | 110 | 105 |
| Rebounds | 48 | 46 |
| Assists | 23 | 30 |
| Steals | 6 | 2 |
| Blocks | 5 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (0) | 8 (0) |
| Fouls | 21 | 13 |
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (4) | 10 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 42 (0) | 36 (1) |
| Field Goals | 40-86 | 38-88 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-21 | 13-27 |
| Midrange FG | 9-30 | 11-27 |
| 2-Point FG | 24-51 | 24-54 |
| 3-Point FG | 16-35 | 14-34 |
| Free Throws | 14-18 | 15-21 |
| Fast Break Pts | 16 | 10 |
| 2nd Chance Pts | 12 | 14 |
| Points in Paint | 44 | 34 |
| Pts off Turnovers | 12 | 11 |
| Bench Points | 58 | 59 |
| Biggest Lead | 18 | 2 |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.