FinalWin Prob.pScore
2615%106
101
385%121
115
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
94.4107107.0
MIL logo MIL
109.5105105.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.0%
MIL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
12
25
48%
MIL
22
32
69%
Midrange
LAL
5
18
28%
MIL
4
10
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
16
24.0
43
37%
56%
MIL
15
22.5
47
32%
48%
Free Throws
LAL
19
23
83%
MIL
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope3588%17.5 / 20
K. Kuzma1743%8.5 / 20
R. Rondo1341%6.5 / 16
R. Bullock1393%6.5 / 7
J. McGee643%3.0 / 7
J. Hart6150%3.0 / 2
M. Wagner550%2.5 / 5
A. Caruso425%2.0 / 8
M. Muscala217%1.0 / 6
J. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton3071%15.0 / 21
B. Lopez2874%14.0 / 19
N. Mirotic2372%11.5 / 16
E. Bledsoe1441%7.0 / 17
P. Connaughton1393%6.5 / 7
G. Hill433%2.0 / 6
D. Wilson321%1.5 / 7
T. Snell0-0.0 / 3
T. Frazier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
88
+11
-19
99
MIL
88
+15
-17
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.02 51.0%
MIL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
113.9
LAL 94.4 +15.1
MIL 109.5
Pace
103.0
103.2
LAL 107.0 +2.0
MIL 105.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
13.9
LAL 13.5 +0.3
MIL 13.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
55.0%
LAL 47.7%
MIL 54.5% +6.8%
TO %
14.7%
12.8%
LAL 16.5%
MIL 15.1% +1.4%
ORB %
22.2%
20.8%
LAL 16.0%
MIL 26.1% +10.1%
FTrt
25.7
25.5
LAL 26.7
MIL 30.3 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.1%
LAL 60.6%
MIL 61.0% +0.4%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
LAL 8.4%
MIL 8.6% +0.2%
BLK %
9.2%
10.4%
LAL 11.9% +2.6%
MIL 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
57.1%
LAL 51.0%
MIL 54.8% +3.8%
Rim FG%
62.0%
64.1%
LAL 48.0%
MIL 68.8% +20.8%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.4%
LAL 27.8%
MIL 40.0% +12.2%
3P %
33.3%
35.2%
LAL 37.2% +5.3%
MIL 31.9%
FT %
69.9%
77.2%
LAL 82.6% +15.9%
MIL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
40.2%
LAL 29.1%
MIL 36.0% +6.9%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
17.8%
LAL 20.9%
MIL 11.2% +9.7%
3P Att. %
34.2%
42.0%
LAL 50.0%
MIL 52.8% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsLALMIL
Possessions107105
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points101115
Rebounds4254
Assists2025
Steals99
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)42 (1)
Field Goals33-8641-89
At-the-Rim FG12-2522-32
Midrange FG5-184-10
2-Point FG17-4326-42
3-Point FG16-4315-47
Free Throws19-2318-27
Fast Break Pts136
2nd Chance Pts1220
Points in Paint3246
Pts off Turnovers1916
Bench Points5020
Biggest Lead523

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
39.5
13
41%
6
10
2
1
7
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
#0 · SF · 6'9" 221 · 24
35.0
17
43%
5
3
1
0
3
2
1
4
7-10
70%
2-9
22%
2-8
25%
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
31.8
6
43%
11
0
0
2
0
4
3
8
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#35 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28
24.3
13
93%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
#31 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
10.7
2
17%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
34.2
35
88%
3
1
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
8-14
57%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
22.3
4
25%
4
2
2
0
2
1
3
1
4-4
100%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
17.3
6
150%
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
16.2
5
50%
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#20 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 36
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot, second toe sprain
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained left ankle
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore left groin
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Thoracic outlet decompression surgery, right arm
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
42
20
9
5
19
18
8
34
19-23
83%
17-43
40%
16-43
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.