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All Games Monday, March 18, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Pelicans
34%112
129
16
Mavericks
66%118
125
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
110.3117106.4
DAL logo DAL
107.8116104.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPDAL
OT1 - End of 1st OT.129
100%
125
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
22
36
61%
DAL
21
40
53%
Midrange
NOP
15
29
52%
DAL
16
30
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
12
18.0
39
31%
46%
DAL
9
13.5
35
26%
39%
Free Throws
NOP
19
22
86%
DAL
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Randle3065%15.0 / 23
A. Davis2083%10.0 / 12
F. Jackson1956%9.5 / 17
E. Payton1959%9.5 / 16
D. Miller1063%5.0 / 8
I. Clark1056%5.0 / 9
K. Williams840%4.0 / 10
C. Diallo850%4.0 / 8
D. Bertans3150%1.5 / 1
J. Okafor233%1.0 / 3
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2950%14.5 / 29
T. Hardaway2158%10.5 / 18
D. Powell1689%8.0 / 9
J. Brunson1458%7.0 / 12
M. Kleber945%4.5 / 10
S. Mejri975%4.5 / 6
D. Nowitzki867%4.0 / 6
D. Harris643%3.0 / 7
J. Jackson660%3.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith542%2.5 / 6
T. Burke2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
100
+18
-17
118
DAL
101
+18
-15
119
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
109.2
NOP 110.3 +2.5
DAL 107.8
Pace
103.4
99.1
NOP 106.4 +1.7
DAL 104.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.8
NOP 13.5 +0.2
DAL 13.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.8%
NOP 52.9% +4.8%
DAL 48.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.6%
NOP 13.0%
DAL 12.0% +1.0%
ORB %
24.1%
22.6%
NOP 28.0% +2.5%
DAL 25.5%
FTrt
25.4
29.1
NOP 21.2
DAL 27.6 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
60.3%
NOP 69.4% +10.7%
DAL 58.7%
STL %
7.2%
6.5%
NOP 6.0%
DAL 7.8% +1.8%
BLK %
9.1%
7.6%
NOP 8.6%
DAL 9.2% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.2%
NOP 54.7% +2.2%
DAL 52.5%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.0%
NOP 61.1% +8.6%
DAL 52.5%
Mid FG%
41.1%
39.0%
NOP 51.7%
DAL 53.3% +1.6%
3P %
34.4%
34.0%
NOP 30.8% +5.1%
DAL 25.7%
FT %
76.1%
74.2%
NOP 86.4% +3.6%
DAL 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
33.8%
NOP 34.6%
DAL 38.1% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
24.0%
NOP 27.9% +0.7%
DAL 28.6%
3P Att. %
32.4%
42.2%
NOP 37.5% +4.2%
DAL 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPDAL
Possessions117116
Possession Minutes26.426.6
Points129125
Rebounds5550
Assists3427
Steals79
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2826
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)36 (2)
Field Goals49-10446-105
At-the-Rim FG22-3621-40
Midrange FG15-2916-30
2-Point FG37-6537-70
3-Point FG12-399-35
Free Throws19-2224-29
Fast Break Pts2024
2nd Chance Pts2116
Points in Paint5858
Pts off Turnovers1716
Bench Points3337
Biggest Lead912

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
25 New Orleans Pelicans
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Frank Jackson
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
40.4
19
56%
2
4
1
1
2
2
1
1
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
2-6
33%
Kenrich Williams
#34 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
39.9
8
40%
11
3
3
0
0
5
2
9
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
Elfrid Payton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
37.4
19
59%
10
11
1
0
3
3
1
9
7-8
88%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
Julius Randle
#30 · C · 6'9" 250 · 24
34.2
30
65%
9
4
1
1
1
3
3
6
0-1
0%
12-20
60%
2-4
50%
Anthony Davis
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
20.9
20
83%
6
5
1
1
3
1
2
4
3-3
100%
7-9
78%
1-2
50%
Darius Miller
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
31.2
10
63%
4
4
0
0
4
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
Cheick Diallo
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 23
27.2
8
50%
8
1
0
1
2
4
4
4
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
14.3
10
56%
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
Dairis Bertans
#9 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 30
7.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Jahlil Okafor
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
6.8
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
#3 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
#14 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Solomon Hill
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
E'Twaun Moore
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Quadriceps Contusion
Jrue Holiday
#11 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Abdominal Strain
Trevon Bluiett
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
129
55%
55
34
7
6
17
28
14
41
19-22
86%
37-65
57%
12-39
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.