FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%117
105
1241%114
111
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
109.496106.7
SAS logo SAS
115.69687.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.5%
SAS
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
19
26
73%
SAS
10
18
56%
Midrange
GSW
9
23
39%
SAS
21
44
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
SAS
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
GSW
10
12
83%
SAS
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry2550%12.5 / 25
K. Durant2475%12.0 / 16
K. Thompson1441%7.0 / 17
D. Green1071%5.0 / 7
A. McKinnie867%4.0 / 6
A. Bogut788%3.5 / 4
K. Looney6300%3.0 / 1
Q. Cook583%2.5 / 3
S. Livingston467%2.0 / 3
J. Bell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2665%13.0 / 20
L. Aldridge2377%11.5 / 15
R. Gay1753%8.5 / 16
D. White1255%6.0 / 11
P. Mills1063%5.0 / 8
M. Belinelli990%4.5 / 5
J. Poeltl650%3.0 / 6
D. Bertans536%2.5 / 7
B. Forbes330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
83
+11
-13
94
SAS
86
+12
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.13 56.5%
SAS
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
112.6
GSW 109.4
SAS 115.6 +6.3
Pace
101.3
98.6
GSW 106.7 +19.4
SAS 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
GSW 13.5 +3.0
SAS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
53.4%
GSW 54.0% +1.7%
SAS 52.3%
TO %
13.5%
11.9%
GSW 12.2%
SAS 9.3% +2.9%
ORB %
22.5%
20.9%
GSW 16.3%
SAS 21.7% +5.4%
FTrt
22.7
23.7
GSW 13.6
SAS 25.0 +11.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
58.0%
GSW 65.9% +17.1%
SAS 48.8%
STL %
7.4%
6.2%
GSW 7.3%
SAS 7.3%
BLK %
11.3%
8.3%
GSW 9.7%
SAS 10.2% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
56.0%
GSW 56.5% +0.4%
SAS 56.1%
Rim FG%
66.3%
62.7%
GSW 73.1% +17.5%
SAS 55.6%
Mid FG%
45.8%
44.0%
GSW 39.1%
SAS 47.7% +8.6%
3P %
38.5%
39.2%
GSW 33.3%
SAS 38.5% +5.2%
FT %
80.1%
81.8%
GSW 83.3%
SAS 86.4% +3.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
27.8%
GSW 29.5% +9.1%
SAS 20.5%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
43.7%
GSW 26.1% +23.9%
SAS 50.0%
3P Att. %
38.4%
28.6%
GSW 44.3% +14.8%
SAS 29.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsGSWSAS
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points105111
Rebounds4346
Assists2720
Steals77
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2012
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)36 (2)
Field Goals41-8841-88
At-the-Rim FG19-2610-18
Midrange FG9-2321-44
2-Point FG28-4931-62
3-Point FG13-3910-26
Free Throws10-1219-22
Fast Break Pts167
2nd Chance Pts1413
Points in Paint4034
Pts off Turnovers714
Bench Points2541
Biggest Lead314

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
37.8
14
41%
5
5
1
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-9
11%
4-9
44%
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
37.3
25
50%
7
8
3
1
2
3
1
6
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
6-18
33%
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
36.1
24
75%
5
3
0
0
3
5
0
5
6-6
100%
9-14
64%
0-4
0%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
35.6
10
71%
3
7
1
3
3
2
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
#12 · C · 7'0" 260 · 34
19.1
7
88%
7
1
1
0
1
3
0
7
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
18.7
8
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 34
17.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 23
17.4
6
300%
3
2
1
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
10.8
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
9.5
2
100%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision | ill
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Dental work
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left pectoral surgery
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ankle soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
56%
43
27
7
6
13
20
7
36
10-12
83%
28-49
57%
13-39
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.