FinalWin Prob.pScore
1431%104
116
869%111
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.710299.7
OKC logo OKC
107.0100102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
107
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
OKC
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
27
45
60%
OKC
20
28
71%
Midrange
MIA
10
23
43%
OKC
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
OKC
10
15.0
37
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
15
16
94%
OKC
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2681%13.0 / 16
D. Wade2569%12.5 / 18
K. Olynyk18100%9.0 / 9
J. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Richardson930%4.5 / 15
B. Adebayo844%4.0 / 9
D. Jones836%4.0 / 11
D. Waiters643%3.0 / 7
H. Whiteside233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3178%15.5 / 20
J. Grant2775%13.5 / 18
D. Schröder2053%10.0 / 19
S. Adams1071%5.0 / 7
T. Ferguson956%4.5 / 8
A. Nader638%3.0 / 8
M. Morris422%2.0 / 9
R. Felton0-0.0 / 3
D. Burton0-0.0 / 1
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 1
H. Diallo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
94
+14
-8
108
OKC
81
+16
-19
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.7%
OKC
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
110.3
MIA 113.7 +6.7
OKC 107.0
Pace
98.1
102.9
MIA 99.7
OKC 102.3 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.2
MIA 14.4
OKC 14.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.4%
MIA 52.1% +2.7%
OKC 49.4%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 8.0% +8.1%
OKC 16.1%
ORB %
24.8%
26.0%
MIA 20.0%
OKC 27.1% +7.1%
FTrt
24.7
26.6
MIA 16.5
OKC 31.0 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.8%
MIA 65.2% +9.9%
OKC 55.3%
STL %
7.8%
9.0%
MIA 12.7% +8.7%
OKC 4.0%
BLK %
10.2%
9.1%
MIA 8.0%
OKC 11.8% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.5%
MIA 53.7%
OKC 55.2% +1.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
59.6%
MIA 60.0%
OKC 71.4% +11.4%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.6%
MIA 43.5% +7.1%
OKC 36.4%
3P %
34.9%
34.8%
MIA 31.0% +4.0%
OKC 27.0%
FT %
69.5%
71.3%
MIA 93.8% +16.0%
OKC 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
38.6%
MIA 46.4% +14.2%
OKC 32.2%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
26.7%
MIA 23.7% +1.6%
OKC 25.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
34.7%
MIA 29.9%
OKC 42.5% +12.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions102100
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points116107
Rebounds4449
Assists3021
Steals134
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)19 (0)
Fouls2317
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals46-9738-87
At-the-Rim FG27-4520-28
Midrange FG10-238-22
2-Point FG37-6828-50
3-Point FG9-2910-37
Free Throws15-1621-27
Fast Break Pts187
2nd Chance Pts1614
Points in Paint6050
Pts off Turnovers2312
Bench Points6710
Biggest Lead1913

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 26
39.6
9
30%
7
6
1
0
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
1-5
20%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
35.8
18
100%
9
1
1
0
0
1
1
8
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
29.7
8
44%
7
4
2
1
4
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
28.0
6
43%
4
1
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
17.4
8
36%
1
0
2
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
33.4
25
69%
4
5
1
1
2
4
1
3
4-5
80%
9-13
69%
1-4
25%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
29.3
26
81%
5
11
2
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
6-9
67%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
21.7
14
70%
3
2
3
2
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
0-2
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
5.2
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Soreness
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh Bruise
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
54%
44
30
13
4
8
23
9
35
15-16
94%
37-68
54%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.