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All Games Sunday, March 17, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Raptors
54%110
107
16
Pistons
46%108
110
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
115.19395.5
DET logo DET
118.39390.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
110
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.19 59.4%
DET
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
24
54%
DET
26
40
65%
Midrange
TOR
8
22
36%
DET
5
16
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
18
27.0
36
50%
75%
DET
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
TOR
11
14
79%
DET
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3375%16.5 / 22
F. VanVleet1794%8.5 / 9
P. Siakam1250%6.0 / 12
D. Green1286%6.0 / 7
N. Powell1071%5.0 / 7
M. Gasol964%4.5 / 7
O. Anunoby857%4.0 / 7
J. Lin350%1.5 / 3
E. Moreland350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin2557%12.5 / 22
R. Jackson2071%10.0 / 14
A. Drummond1575%7.5 / 10
L. Galloway1169%5.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia1192%5.5 / 6
W. Ellington950%4.5 / 9
I. Smith844%4.0 / 9
T. Maker758%3.5 / 6
B. Brown220%1.0 / 5
L. Kennard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+9
-12
90
DET
83
+14
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.19 59.4%
DET
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
109.0
TOR 115.1
DET 118.3 +3.2
Pace
100.2
97.3
TOR 95.5 +4.9
DET 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.2
TOR 15.1 +0.8
DET 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
50.8%
TOR 58.5% +6.7%
DET 51.8%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
TOR 12.0%
DET 9.5% +2.5%
ORB %
21.8%
24.9%
TOR 17.5%
DET 26.2% +8.7%
FTrt
24.7
26.1
TOR 17.1
DET 32.5 +15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
57.9%
TOR 64.1% +5.1%
DET 59.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.1%
TOR 2.2%
DET 8.6% +6.4%
BLK %
9.1%
7.1%
TOR 3.6%
DET 6.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
53.0%
TOR 59.4% +2.1%
DET 57.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
57.5%
TOR 54.2%
DET 65.0% +10.8%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.4%
TOR 36.4% +5.1%
DET 31.3%
3P %
36.6%
34.8%
TOR 50.0% +20.4%
DET 29.6%
FT %
80.4%
74.7%
TOR 78.6%
DET 88.9% +10.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.7%
TOR 29.3%
DET 48.2% +18.9%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
23.9%
TOR 26.8%
DET 19.3% +7.6%
3P Att. %
37.9%
39.4%
TOR 43.9% +11.4%
DET 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORDET
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points107110
Rebounds3844
Assists2523
Steals28
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals39-8239-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2426-40
Midrange FG8-225-16
2-Point FG21-4631-56
3-Point FG18-368-27
Free Throws11-1424-27
Fast Break Pts1311
2nd Chance Pts39
Points in Paint3458
Pts off Turnovers415
Bench Points3839
Biggest Lead811

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marc Gasol
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
36.8
9
64%
11
8
0
1
2
2
1
10
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
36.4
33
75%
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
6-8
75%
6-13
46%
5-8
63%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
32.4
12
50%
3
3
1
0
1
6
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
30.2
12
86%
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
Jeremy Lin
#17 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
16.6
3
50%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Fred VanVleet
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
31.4
17
94%
1
4
0
0
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
4-5
80%
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
18.7
8
57%
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
17.8
10
71%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
Eric Moreland
#15 · C · 6'10" 238 · 27
10.2
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
Patrick McCaw
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
NWT - Suspended
Malcolm Miller
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Ankle
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
59%
38
25
2
2
12
22
7
31
11-14
79%
21-46
46%
18-36
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.