FinalWin Prob.pScore
1136%107
100
764%112
102
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
107.59397.7
DEN logo DEN
110.99289.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound100
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses three point step back jump shot100
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)100
11.8%
102
88.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
30.6%
100
69.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 299
27.1%
100
72.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)99
41.2%
100
58.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0PacersPacers defensive rebound99
34.5%
100
65.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot99
27.9%
100
72.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound99
16.2%
100
83.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot99
27.9%
100
72.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 199
20.6%
100
79.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)98
18.4%
100
81.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0PacersThaddeus Young defensive rebound96
7.9%
100
92.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot96
6.6%
100
93.4%
Q4 - 1:15PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 296
5.0%
100
95.0%
Q4 - 1:15PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 295
4.6%
100
95.4%
Q4 - 1:15NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)94
4.2%
100
95.8%
Q4 - 1:33NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 294
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 1:33NuggetsWill Barton misses regular free throw 1 of 294
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 1:33PacersWesley Matthews personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)94
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 1:47PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 294
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 1:47PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 293
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 1:47NuggetsWill Barton personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)93
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 1:47PacersPacers offensive rebound93
4.7%
99
95.3%
Q4 - 1:47PacersThaddeus Young misses two point floating jump shot93
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 1:58PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound93
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 2:00NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 2 of 293
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 2:00NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 293
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 2:00PacersWesley Matthews personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)93
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 2:13NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound93
4.3%
98
95.7%
Q4 - 2:17PacersDarren Collison misses two point fadeaway jump shot93
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 2:42NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)93
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 2:56PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 293
12.1%
96
87.9%
Q4 - 2:56PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 292
11.2%
96
88.8%
Q4 - 2:56PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes technical free throw 1 of 191
9.3%
96
90.7%
Q4 - 2:56PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes technical free throw 1 of 190
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic technical foul89
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic technical foul89
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)89
4.6%
96
95.4%
Q4 - 2:56PacersPacers defensive rebound89
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot89
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 3:17NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound89
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 3:20PacersDarren Collison misses two point layup89
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 3:25NuggetsWill Barton turnover (lost ball) (Darren Collison steals)89
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 3:45PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 289
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 3:45PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 288
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 3:45NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)87
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 3:50PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound87
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 3:53NuggetsWill Barton misses three point step back jump shot87
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 4:14NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound87
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 4:19PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot87
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 4:24NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)87
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 4:39PacersDarren Collison makes two point jump shot87
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 4:50NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Paul Millsap assists)85
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 5:05NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound85
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 5:07PacersGary Harris blocks Bojan Bogdanovic's two point jump shot85
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsMalik Beasley offensive rebound85
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 5:24NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot85
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 5:47PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)85
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 5:47PacersPacers offensive rebound85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 5:47PacersMason Plumlee blocks Cory Joseph's two point jump shot85
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 6:01NuggetsMason Plumlee personal foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)85
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 6:08PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound85
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 6:11PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point hook shot85
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 6:28NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)85
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 6:39PacersThaddeus Young makes two point putback layup85
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 6:40PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound83
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 6:44PacersMason Plumlee blocks Tyreke Evans's two point floating jump shot83
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 7:03PacersPacers defensive rebound83
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 7:05NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot83
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 7:32PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point dunk (Cory Joseph assists)83
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsMason Plumlee makes two point turnaround hook shot81
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 8:18PacersCory Joseph makes regular free throw 2 of 281
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 8:18PacersCory Joseph misses regular free throw 1 of 280
6.3%
89
93.7%
Q4 - 8:18NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)80
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 8:29PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound80
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 8:32NuggetsPaul Millsap misses regular free throw 1 of 180
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 8:32PacersBojan Bogdanovic shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)80
5.5%
89
94.5%
Q4 - 8:46NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound80
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 8:47PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot80
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 9:02PacersCory Joseph defensive rebound80
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 9:06NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 180
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q4 - 9:06PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)80
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 9:15NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound80
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q4 - 9:17PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 2 of 280
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 9:17PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 280
16.0%
85
84.0%
Q4 - 9:17NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)80
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point finger roll layup (Mason Plumlee assists)80
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 9:48NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound80
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q4 - 9:51PacersCory Joseph misses two point jump shot80
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q4 - 10:02PacersTyreke Evans defensive rebound80
25.4%
83
74.6%
Q4 - 10:04NuggetsMason Plumlee misses three point jump shot80
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 10:24NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound80
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q4 - 10:26PacersTyreke Evans misses three point jump shot80
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 10:38NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)80
25.3%
83
74.7%
Q4 - 10:58PacersThaddeus Young makes two point floating jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)80
29.5%
81
70.5%
Q4 - 11:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 278
25.7%
81
74.3%
Q4 - 11:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 278
26.2%
80
73.8%
Q4 - 11:13PacersCory Joseph shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)78
26.7%
79
73.3%
Q4 - 11:20PacersCory Joseph personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)78
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q4 - 11:28PacersCory Joseph personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)78
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q4 - 11:47PacersTyreke Evans makes regular free throw 1 of 178
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q4 - 11:47NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Tyreke Evans draws the foul)77
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
21.8%
79
78.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0PacersThaddeus Young defensive rebound75
22.3%
79
77.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point jump shot75
21.3%
79
78.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0PacersTyreke Evans makes regular free throw 2 of 275
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0PacersTyreke Evans makes regular free throw 1 of 274
18.4%
79
81.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0NuggetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Tyreke Evans draws the foul)73
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)73
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound73
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot73
23.5%
76
76.5%
Q3 - 1:07NuggetsMalik Beasley makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)73
26.4%
76
73.6%
Q3 - 1:25PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point floating jump shot (Tyreke Evans assists)73
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)71
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 2:01NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound71
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 2:03PacersTyreke Evans misses three point jump shot71
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 2:23PacersTyreke Evans defensive rebound71
38.5%
71
61.5%
Q3 - 2:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot71
37.1%
71
62.9%
Q3 - 2:42PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround jump shot71
34.0%
71
66.0%
Q3 - 2:46PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound69
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q3 - 2:49PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot69
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)69
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 3:20PacersDomantas Sabonis personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 3:20NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 3:21PacersWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot69
27.7%
71
72.3%
Q3 - 3:29PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound69
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 3:32NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot69
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 3:51NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 3:54PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot69
27.6%
71
72.4%
Q3 - 4:03PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound69
30.3%
71
69.7%
Q3 - 4:07NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot69
29.1%
71
70.9%
Q3 - 4:21PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot69
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q3 - 4:31PacersDomantas Sabonis makes flagrant free throw 2 of 269
26.4%
71
73.6%
Q3 - 4:31PacersDomantas Sabonis makes flagrant free throw 1 of 268
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q3 - 4:31NuggetsMason Plumlee flagrant 1 (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)67
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 4:34PacersPacers defensive rebound67
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot67
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 4:35NuggetsWill Barton offensive rebound67
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsGary Harris misses two point dunk67
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 4:42PacersDomantas Sabonis turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)67
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q3 - 4:50PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound67
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsGary Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 267
23.2%
71
76.8%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 267
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q3 - 4:52PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)67
21.7%
70
78.3%
Q3 - 5:07PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point floating jump shot (Darren Collison assists)67
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 265
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 265
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q3 - 5:29PacersWesley Matthews shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)65
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 5:32PacersMyles Turner turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)65
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 5:40PacersWesley Matthews defensive rebound65
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot65
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q3 - 5:51PacersDarren Collison personal foul (Will Barton draws the foul)65
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 5:51PacersDarren Collison turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)65
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point finger roll layup65
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 6:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound65
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q3 - 6:25PacersThaddeus Young misses two point floating jump shot65
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 6:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)65
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 6:58PacersDarren Collison makes two point layup65
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 7:03PacersWesley Matthews defensive rebound63
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 7:07NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot63
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q3 - 7:26PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)63
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 7:39PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound63
37.1%
63
62.9%
Q3 - 7:43PacersWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot63
34.3%
63
65.7%
Q3 - 7:46PacersWesley Matthews defensive rebound63
37.1%
63
62.9%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup63
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q3 - 8:01PacersWesley Matthews makes regular free throw 2 of 263
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 8:01PacersWesley Matthews misses regular free throw 1 of 262
32.5%
63
67.5%
Q3 - 8:01NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)62
35.2%
63
64.8%
Q3 - 8:15NuggetsGary Harris makes two point finger roll layup (Will Barton assists)62
33.5%
63
66.5%
Q3 - 8:26NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
36.4%
61
63.6%
Q3 - 8:27PacersThaddeus Young misses two point putback layup62
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:27PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound62
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 8:32PacersDarren Collison misses two point jump shot62
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:40NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)62
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 8:49NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound62
36.4%
61
63.6%
Q3 - 8:52PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot62
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:58PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound62
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 9:02NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Gary Harris's two point layup62
38.4%
61
61.6%
Q3 - 9:06NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound62
35.9%
61
64.1%
Q3 - 9:09PacersDarren Collison misses two point jump shot62
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 9:25PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound62
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 9:29NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot62
38.5%
61
61.5%
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound62
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 9:35NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup62
38.5%
61
61.5%
Q3 - 9:41NuggetsGary Harris defensive rebound62
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 9:44PacersThaddeus Young misses two point step back jump shot62
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 10:02NuggetsGary Harris makes two point driving jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)62
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q3 - 10:22PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving jump shot (Myles Turner assists)62
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 10:43NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point reverse layup60
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 10:51NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound60
42.2%
57
57.8%
Q3 - 10:53PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot60
43.4%
57
56.6%
Q3 - 10:58PacersDarren Collison defensive rebound60
46.2%
57
53.8%
Q3 - 11:01NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point jump shot60
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 11:15NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound60
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 11:17PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses two point jump shot60
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 11:39PacersWesley Matthews defensive rebound60
45.5%
57
54.5%
Q3 - 11:44NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot60
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0NuggetsWill Barton makes three point step back jump shot60
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound60
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0PacersThaddeus Young misses three point jump shot60
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)60
54.2%
54
45.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0NuggetsGary Harris offensive rebound60
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot60
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q2 - 1:04NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound60
57.8%
52
42.2%
Q2 - 1:05PacersThaddeus Young misses three point jump shot60
58.4%
52
41.6%
Q2 - 1:22NuggetsGary Harris makes three point step back jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)60
59.7%
52
40.3%
Q2 - 1:34PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 260
66.8%
49
33.2%
Q2 - 1:34PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 259
66.2%
49
33.8%
Q2 - 1:34NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)58
65.5%
49
34.5%
Q2 - 1:59NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)58
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q2 - 2:02PacersWesley Matthews turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
67.7%
46
32.3%
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point putback layup58
70.5%
46
29.5%
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsPaul Millsap offensive rebound58
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q2 - 2:17NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point floating jump shot58
74.7%
44
25.3%
Q2 - 2:39PacersBojan Bogdanovic turnover (traveling)58
73.0%
44
27.0%
Q2 - 2:50NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup58
75.4%
44
24.6%
Q2 - 2:50NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound58
77.6%
42
22.4%
Q2 - 2:53NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point finger roll layup58
79.1%
42
20.9%
Q2 - 3:14NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound58
75.6%
42
24.4%
Q2 - 3:16PacersDarren Collison misses regular free throw 2 of 258
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q2 - 3:16PacersDarren Collison makes regular free throw 1 of 258
77.4%
42
22.6%
Q2 - 3:16NuggetsGary Harris personal foul (Darren Collison draws the foul)57
77.1%
42
22.9%
Q2 - 3:26NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (traveling)57
76.0%
42
24.0%
Q2 - 3:39PacersDarren Collison makes regular free throw 1 of 157
73.4%
42
26.6%
Q2 - 3:39NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Darren Collison draws the foul)56
73.2%
42
26.8%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 254
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 4:00NuggetsPaul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 254
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 4:00PacersThaddeus Young personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)54
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q2 - 4:17PacersDarren Collison makes two point jump shot54
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 4:39NuggetsGary Harris makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)52
67.4%
40
32.6%
Q2 - 4:55PacersThaddeus Young makes three point jump shot (Darren Collison assists)52
69.9%
38
30.1%
Q2 - 5:11NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 249
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 5:11NuggetsWill Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 249
64.7%
37
35.3%
Q2 - 5:11PacersDarren Collison shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)49
65.2%
36
34.8%
Q2 - 5:22NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound49
66.4%
36
33.6%
Q2 - 5:25PacersBojan Bogdanovic misses three point step back jump shot49
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 5:48NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)49
69.3%
36
30.7%
Q2 - 6:01NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound49
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 6:05PacersWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot49
73.1%
33
26.9%
Q2 - 6:18NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)49
74.9%
33
25.1%
Q2 - 6:27NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound49
76.5%
31
23.5%
Q2 - 6:28NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot49
78.1%
31
21.9%
Q2 - 6:51PacersMyles Turner makes two point finger roll layup (Wesley Matthews assists)49
76.5%
31
23.5%
Q2 - 7:13PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound47
73.4%
31
26.6%
Q2 - 7:13NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot47
72.7%
31
27.3%
Q2 - 7:28PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point hook shot (Wesley Matthews assists)47
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 7:42NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez turnover (offensive foul)45
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 7:42NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez offensive foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)45
66.8%
31
33.2%
Q2 - 7:50PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)45
66.8%
31
33.2%
Q2 - 7:58PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 245
66.8%
31
33.2%
Q2 - 7:58PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 244
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 7:58NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)44
68.0%
31
32.0%
Q2 - 8:11PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound44
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:15NuggetsMalik Beasley misses three point jump shot44
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 8:18PacersTyreke Evans personal foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)44
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 8:27NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound44
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 8:29PacersTyreke Evans misses regular free throw 2 of 244
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 8:29PacersTyreke Evans misses regular free throw 1 of 244
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 8:29NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Tyreke Evans draws the foul)44
67.4%
31
32.6%
Q2 - 8:33NuggetsMalik Beasley turnover (lost ball) (Domantas Sabonis steals)44
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:37PacersThaddeus Young turnover (bad pass) (Malik Beasley steals)44
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Juancho Hernangomez assists)44
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 8:55NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound44
70.6%
28
29.4%
Q2 - 8:57PacersJuancho Hernangomez blocks Thaddeus Young's two point layup44
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q2 - 9:13NuggetsMonte Morris turnover (lost ball) (Cory Joseph steals)44
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 9:31PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Tyreke Evans assists)44
69.4%
28
30.6%
Q2 - 9:35PacersTyreke Evans defensive rebound41
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q2 - 9:38NuggetsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point jump shot41
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 9:58PacersDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 241
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q2 - 9:58PacersDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 240
62.3%
28
37.7%
Q2 - 9:58NuggetsPaul Millsap shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)40
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q2 - 10:10PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound40
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 10:12NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 240
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 10:12NuggetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 240
60.9%
28
39.1%
Q2 - 10:12PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)40
59.6%
28
40.4%
Q2 - 10:28PacersDoug McDermott makes two point finger roll layup (Tyreke Evans assists)40
59.8%
28
40.2%
Q2 - 10:41PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound38
57.7%
28
42.3%
Q2 - 10:45NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot38
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 11:07PacersThaddeus Young makes two point putback layup38
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 11:07PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound36
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 11:12PacersPaul Millsap blocks Tyreke Evans's two point driving layup36
50.1%
28
49.9%
Q2 - 11:17PacersTyreke Evans defensive rebound36
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 11:20NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point floating jump shot36
51.1%
28
48.9%
Q2 - 11:26NuggetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound36
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q2 - 11:29PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot36
50.2%
28
49.8%
Q2 - 11:44NuggetsMalik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)36
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.36
56.7%
25
43.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0PacersThaddeus Young makes two point layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)36
56.1%
25
43.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0PacersTyreke Evans defensive rebound34
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot34
52.7%
25
47.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound34
51.4%
25
48.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point putback layup34
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound34
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0PacersCory Joseph misses two point floating jump shot34
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0PacersThaddeus Young defensive rebound34
53.4%
25
46.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot34
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0PacersTyreke Evans personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)34
51.4%
25
48.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0PacersThaddeus Young makes two point turnaround hook shot34
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point finger roll layup32
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 1:30PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving layup32
51.4%
23
48.6%
Q1 - 1:45NuggetsPaul Millsap turnover (traveling)30
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q1 - 1:58PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 230
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q1 - 1:58PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 229
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q1 - 1:58NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)28
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 2:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot28
43.9%
23
56.1%
Q1 - 2:29PacersWesley Matthews makes three point fadeaway jump shot28
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 2:47PacersWesley Matthews defensive rebound25
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot25
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 3:01PacersDarren Collison turnover (lost ball) (Monte Morris steals)25
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q1 - 3:15NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup25
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q1 - 3:16NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound25
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 3:18NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot25
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:33PacersDarren Collison makes two point jump shot25
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 3:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot23
41.3%
19
58.7%
Q1 - 4:08NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound23
42.7%
17
57.3%
Q1 - 4:11PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot23
43.4%
17
56.6%
Q1 - 4:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 223
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 4:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 223
45.4%
16
54.6%
Q1 - 4:29PacersDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)23
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 4:35NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound23
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot23
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 4:39NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound23
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 4:42NuggetsGary Harris misses three point jump shot23
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 4:44PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)23
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 4:54PacersDarren Collison makes two point jump shot23
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 5:15PacersThaddeus Young defensive rebound21
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot21
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 5:27PacersWesley Matthews turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)21
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Mason Plumlee assists)21
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 5:54PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes two point layup21
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 5:57PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound19
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 6:00NuggetsMason Plumlee misses two point driving hook shot19
43.5%
13
56.5%
Q1 - 6:22PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes two point step back jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)19
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 6:44NuggetsWill Barton makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)17
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:56PacersBojan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)17
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point reverse layup17
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 7:23NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound17
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:25PacersMyles Turner misses three point step back jump shot17
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 7:44NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Gary Harris assists)17
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 8:04PacersDarren Collison makes three point jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)17
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 8:19PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound14
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 8:19NuggetsWesley Matthews blocks Paul Millsap's two point layup14
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 8:41PacersThaddeus Young makes two point putback layup14
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 8:42PacersThaddeus Young offensive rebound12
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 8:45PacersMyles Turner misses two point fadeaway jump shot12
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 8:57PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound12
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 9:01NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot12
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 9:17PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes two point layup (Wesley Matthews assists)12
38.3%
7
61.7%
Q1 - 9:23NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Darren Collison steals)10
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 9:28NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound10
34.9%
7
65.1%
Q1 - 9:30PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot10
35.5%
7
64.5%
Q1 - 9:44NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot10
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 9:56PacersThaddeus Young makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)10
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 10:03PacersBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound7
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 10:06NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot7
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 10:23PacersWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Darren Collison assists)7
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 10:39NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)4
30.1%
5
69.9%
Q1 - 10:50NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound4
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:53PacersDarren Collison misses two point jump shot4
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 10:58PacersDarren Collison defensive rebound4
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 11:00NuggetsGary Harris misses two point jump shot4
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 11:17PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (Darren Collison assists)4
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:30NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)2
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 11:44PacersBojan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)2
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Nikola Jokic (Thaddeus Young gains possession)0
31.5%
0
68.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
25
72%
DEN
18
27
67%
Midrange
IND
10
26
38%
DEN
10
17
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
DEN
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
Free Throws
IND
26
37
70%
DEN
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young1860%9.0 / 15
D. Collison1765%8.5 / 13
B. Bogdanovic1657%8.0 / 14
D. Sabonis1662%8.0 / 13
M. Turner1554%7.5 / 14
W. Matthews758%3.5 / 6
T. Evans536%2.5 / 7
D. McDermott563%2.5 / 4
C. Joseph113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2659%13.0 / 22
J. Murray1753%8.5 / 16
W. Barton1771%8.5 / 12
P. Millsap1554%7.5 / 14
M. Beasley1192%5.5 / 6
G. Harris1045%5.0 / 11
M. Plumlee440%2.0 / 5
M. Morris225%1.0 / 4
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+10
-9
94
DEN
82
+11
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
112.6
IND 107.5
DEN 110.9 +3.3
Pace
98.2
98.0
IND 97.7 +8.2
DEN 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
IND 14.7 +1.3
DEN 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
52.7%
IND 49.3%
DEN 54.3% +5.0%
TO %
13.5%
13.1%
IND 10.8%
DEN 10.8%
ORB %
21.9%
26.6%
IND 21.1%
DEN 21.4% +0.3%
FTrt
24.2
23.2
IND 49.3 +24.9
DEN 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
65.3%
IND 58.8%
DEN 69.2% +10.4%
STL %
8.9%
7.9%
IND 6.5%
DEN 6.5%
BLK %
9.2%
8.2%
IND 4.5%
DEN 9.8% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
54.5%
IND 53.2%
DEN 54.3% +1.1%
Rim FG%
60.4%
59.6%
IND 72.0% +5.3%
DEN 66.7%
Mid FG%
41.1%
43.3%
IND 38.5%
DEN 58.8% +20.3%
3P %
37.4%
35.1%
IND 25.0%
DEN 28.9% +3.9%
FT %
75.1%
75.5%
IND 70.3% +5.3%
DEN 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
37.5%
IND 33.3% +0.4%
DEN 32.9%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
27.7%
IND 34.7%
DEN 20.7% +13.9%
3P Att. %
29.1%
34.8%
IND 32.0%
DEN 46.3% +14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes22.924.7
Points100102
Rebounds4139
Assists2027
Steals66
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)10 (1)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)30 (4)
Field Goals34-7539-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2518-27
Midrange FG10-2610-17
2-Point FG28-5128-44
3-Point FG6-2411-38
Free Throws26-3713-20
Fast Break Pts88
2nd Chance Pts912
Points in Paint4454
Pts off Turnovers99
Bench Points2717
Biggest Lead1811

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
36.5
15
54%
5
2
2
1
1
3
0
5
9-11
82%
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
34.4
18
60%
10
1
0
0
1
1
6
4
0-0
-
6-11
55%
2-4
50%
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
32.4
7
58%
5
5
0
1
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
32.1
16
57%
6
2
0
0
2
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-7
71%
0-5
0%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
30.0
17
65%
2
4
2
0
2
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
25.1
16
62%
7
2
1
0
1
4
2
5
4-8
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
20.8
1
13%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
15.6
5
36%
5
3
0
0
0
2
0
5
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
13.1
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
41
20
6
2
9
19
8
33
26-37
70%
28-51
55%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.