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All Games Saturday, March 16, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Blazers
47%113
103
12
Spurs
53%114
108
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
104.099100.6
SAS logo SAS
108.010098.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
108
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.94 46.8%
SAS
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
21
37
57%
SAS
13
20
65%
Midrange
POR
14
36
39%
SAS
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
7
10.5
28
25%
38%
SAS
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
POR
12
14
86%
SAS
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3461%17.0 / 28
J. Nurkić2457%12.0 / 21
R. Hood1346%6.5 / 14
M. Harkless1161%5.5 / 9
C. McCollum1050%5.0 / 10
S. Curry563%2.5 / 4
J. Layman450%2.0 / 4
A. Aminu225%1.0 / 4
E. Turner0-0.0 / 2
E. Kanter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2158%10.5 / 18
D. White1372%6.5 / 9
R. Gay1359%6.5 / 11
L. Aldridge1243%6.0 / 14
P. Mills1260%6.0 / 10
B. Forbes1161%5.5 / 9
M. Belinelli1169%5.5 / 8
J. Poeltl867%4.0 / 6
D. Bertans788%3.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
91
+18
-8
109
SAS
90
+4
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.94 46.8%
SAS
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.6
POR 104.0
SAS 108.0 +4.0
Pace
99.5
98.6
POR 100.6 +2.2
SAS 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.0
POR 14.3 +0.3
SAS 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
53.4%
POR 45.0%
SAS 51.9% +6.9%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
POR 7.7% +2.1%
SAS 9.8%
ORB %
26.6%
20.9%
POR 25.9% +16.1%
SAS 9.8%
FTrt
25.8
23.7
POR 13.9
SAS 38.0 +24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.0%
POR 54.8% +8.9%
SAS 45.9%
STL %
6.6%
6.2%
POR 4.0%
SAS 4.0%
BLK %
8.3%
8.3%
POR 3.2%
SAS 13.7% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
56.0%
POR 46.8%
SAS 57.4% +10.6%
Rim FG%
59.0%
62.7%
POR 56.8%
SAS 65.0% +8.2%
Mid FG%
42.5%
44.0%
POR 38.9% +0.8%
SAS 38.1%
3P %
35.9%
39.2%
POR 25.0%
SAS 47.1% +22.1%
FT %
81.4%
81.8%
POR 85.7%
SAS 86.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
27.8%
POR 36.6% +11.3%
SAS 25.3%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
43.7%
POR 35.6% +17.5%
SAS 53.2%
3P Att. %
33.9%
28.6%
POR 27.7% +6.2%
SAS 21.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsPORSAS
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points103108
Rebounds5144
Assists2317
Steals44
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)10 (0)
Fouls2214
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)40 (2)
Field Goals42-10137-79
At-the-Rim FG21-3713-20
Midrange FG14-3616-42
2-Point FG35-7329-62
3-Point FG7-288-17
Free Throws12-1426-30
Fast Break Pts27
2nd Chance Pts186
Points in Paint4428
Pts off Turnovers1212
Bench Points2243
Biggest Lead511

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Portland Trail Blazers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Damian Lillard
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 29
37.8
34
61%
6
5
1
0
1
3
0
6
5-5
100%
10-19
53%
3-10
30%
Jusuf Nurkic
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 25
33.7
24
57%
16
4
2
1
5
3
7
9
4-4
100%
10-20
50%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26
29.4
11
61%
1
2
0
0
0
4
1
0
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28
23.3
2
25%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
CJ McCollum
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
22.5
10
50%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
Rodney Hood
#5 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26
25.0
13
46%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
3-7
43%
Jake Layman
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
19.4
4
50%
7
2
0
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
Seth Curry
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29
18.6
5
63%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
16.2
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
#00 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27
14.1
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard
#11 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Skal Labissiere
#17 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr.
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Anfernee Simons
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
47%
51
23
4
2
8
22
14
37
12-14
86%
35-73
48%
7-28
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.