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All Games Thursday, March 14, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Mavericks
28%109
99
6
Nuggets
72%117
100
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
108.89188.8
DEN logo DEN
109.99193.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
100
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
27
48%
DEN
19
26
73%
Midrange
DAL
12
23
52%
DEN
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
DEN
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
Free Throws
DAL
13
17
76%
DEN
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2446%12.0 / 26
J. Brunson2067%10.0 / 15
T. Hardaway1757%8.5 / 15
D. Powell1667%8.0 / 12
M. Kleber1161%5.5 / 9
D. Nowitzki9113%4.5 / 4
D. Harris225%1.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith0-0.0 / 4
S. Mejri0-0.0 / 1
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 2
C. Lee0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap3379%16.5 / 21
J. Murray1243%6.0 / 14
M. Beasley1255%6.0 / 11
N. Jokić1155%5.5 / 10
W. Barton1155%5.5 / 10
G. Harris956%4.5 / 8
M. Morris758%3.5 / 6
M. Plumlee338%1.5 / 4
J. Hernangomez250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
83
+13
-8
96
DEN
80
+10
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
112.6
DAL 108.8
DEN 109.9 +1.1
Pace
99.1
98.0
DAL 88.8
DEN 93.3 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
DAL 16.2
DEN 15.4 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.7%
DAL 49.4%
DEN 53.1% +3.7%
TO %
13.6%
13.1%
DAL 8.7% +2.4%
DEN 11.1%
ORB %
22.6%
26.6%
DAL 20.0%
DEN 20.5% +0.5%
FTrt
29.1
23.2
DAL 19.5
DEN 21.0 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
65.3%
DAL 59.5%
DEN 69.2% +9.7%
STL %
6.5%
7.9%
DAL 8.8% +2.2%
DEN 6.6%
BLK %
7.6%
8.2%
DAL 1.9%
DEN 14.0% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.5%
DAL 50.5%
DEN 55.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.6%
DAL 48.1%
DEN 73.1% +25.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
43.3%
DAL 52.2% +6.0%
DEN 46.2%
3P %
34.0%
35.1%
DAL 32.4% +4.8%
DEN 27.6%
FT %
74.2%
75.5%
DAL 76.5%
DEN 82.4% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
37.5%
DAL 31.0%
DEN 32.1% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
27.7%
DAL 26.4% +5.7%
DEN 32.1%
3P Att. %
42.2%
34.8%
DAL 42.5% +6.7%
DEN 35.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points99100
Rebounds4044
Assists2227
Steals86
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1716
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)36 (2)
Field Goals37-8739-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2719-26
Midrange FG12-2312-26
2-Point FG25-5031-52
3-Point FG12-378-29
Free Throws13-1714-17
Fast Break Pts77
2nd Chance Pts126
Points in Paint4456
Pts off Turnovers135
Bench Points1324
Biggest Lead128

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
39.4
20
67%
5
4
1
0
2
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
3-7
43%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
37.1
17
57%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
Dwight Powell
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
36.1
16
67%
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
5-5
100%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
35.1
24
46%
11
9
2
0
3
1
1
10
3-7
43%
9-15
60%
1-8
13%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
19.4
9
113%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
29.1
11
61%
11
1
1
0
0
1
2
9
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
17.9
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
9.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
9.2
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Justin Jackson
#44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
5.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
#1 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Surgery
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
51%
40
22
8
1
8
17
9
31
13-17
76%
25-50
50%
12-37
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.