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All Games Thursday, March 14, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Kings
28%107
120
4
Celtics
72%115
126
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
110.1109102.4
BOS logo BOS
115.6109116.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.120
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.11 55.6%
BOS
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
29
36
81%
BOS
31
46
67%
Midrange
SAC
8
25
32%
BOS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
BOS
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
SAC
13
23
57%
BOS
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield3477%17.0 / 22
H. Barnes2077%10.0 / 13
D. Fox1953%9.5 / 18
M. Bagley1464%7.0 / 11
W. Cauley-Stein1071%5.0 / 7
N. Bjelica938%4.5 / 12
B. Bogdanović956%4.5 / 8
H. Giles440%2.0 / 5
C. Brewer125%0.5 / 2
A. Burks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3150%15.5 / 31
J. Brown2269%11.0 / 16
M. Morris2162%10.5 / 17
J. Tatum1583%7.5 / 9
A. Horford1275%6.0 / 8
G. Hayward1056%5.0 / 9
M. Smart770%3.5 / 5
A. Baynes650%3.0 / 6
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
99
+8
-10
107
BOS
96
+12
-13
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.11 55.6%
BOS
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
111.8
SAC 110.1
BOS 115.6 +5.5
Pace
103.5
100.0
SAC 102.4
BOS 116.5 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.2
SAC 14.1
BOS 12.4 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
53.4%
SAC 56.3% +1.1%
BOS 55.2%
TO %
12.4%
12.4%
SAC 8.7% +2.0%
BOS 10.7%
ORB %
23.1%
21.7%
SAC 16.0%
BOS 20.4% +4.4%
FTrt
24.4
21.5
SAC 24.2
BOS 26.8 +2.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
62.4%
SAC 64.6%
BOS 65.3% +0.7%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
SAC 8.3% +1.9%
BOS 6.4%
BLK %
7.9%
9.7%
SAC 2.9%
BOS 3.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
55.3%
SAC 55.6%
BOS 57.8% +2.2%
Rim FG%
60.3%
61.6%
SAC 80.6% +13.2%
BOS 67.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.1%
SAC 32.0%
BOS 39.1% +7.1%
3P %
37.8%
36.5%
SAC 32.4% +0.3%
BOS 32.1%
FT %
72.6%
80.2%
SAC 56.5%
BOS 73.1% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
32.1%
SAC 37.9%
BOS 47.4% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
29.8%
SAC 26.3%
BOS 23.7% +2.6%
3P Att. %
32.2%
38.1%
SAC 35.8% +6.9%
BOS 28.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACBOS
Possessions109109
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points120126
Rebounds4752
Assists3132
Steals97
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2420
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)42 (3)
Field Goals48-9549-97
At-the-Rim FG29-3631-46
Midrange FG8-259-23
2-Point FG37-6140-69
3-Point FG11-349-28
Free Throws13-2319-26
Fast Break Pts2211
2nd Chance Pts911
Points in Paint6064
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points2840
Biggest Lead1713

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
37.5
19
53%
7
9
3
0
1
3
0
7
4-8
50%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
35.3
34
77%
4
7
0
0
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
8-14
57%
6-10
60%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
35.1
20
77%
5
4
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
28.7
10
71%
13
4
1
0
0
2
4
9
0-2
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 31
26.6
9
38%
6
0
1
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-7
0%
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
19.3
4
40%
4
4
0
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
19.1
14
64%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 27
17.8
9
56%
0
2
0
0
3
4
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
Alec Burks
#13 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28
10.6
0
0%
1
1
3
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
#33 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 33
10.1
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Caleb Swanigan
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
56%
47
31
9
2
10
24
8
39
13-23
57%
37-61
61%
11-34
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.