FinalWin Prob.pScore
1659%112
111
2641%108
132
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
109.910198.2
ATL logo ATL
130.7101104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
132
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.10 55.0%
ATL
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
15
26
58%
ATL
26
38
68%
Midrange
MEM
9
23
39%
ATL
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
14
21.0
40
35%
53%
ATL
17
25.5
45
38%
57%
Free Throws
MEM
21
26
81%
ATL
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Miles3397%16.5 / 17
M. Conley2067%10.0 / 15
J. Noah1286%6.0 / 7
D. Wright1038%5.0 / 13
J. Valančiūnas844%4.0 / 9
T. Dorsey857%4.0 / 7
J. Holiday650%3.0 / 6
A. Bradley531%2.5 / 8
I. Rabb429%2.0 / 7
B. Caboclo375%1.5 / 2
C. Parsons225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins2775%13.5 / 18
T. Young22100%11.0 / 11
A. Len2071%10.0 / 14
K. Huerter1689%8.0 / 9
T. Prince1568%7.5 / 11
V. Carter1071%5.0 / 7
J. Adams867%4.0 / 6
D. Dedmon633%3.0 / 9
J. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
D. Bembry233%1.0 / 3
B. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
K. Bazemore0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
87
+14
-14
101
ATL
90
+21
-11
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.10 55.0%
ATL
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
108.1
MEM 109.9
ATL 130.7 +20.8
Pace
96.6
103.9
MEM 98.2
ATL 104.0 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
13.6
MEM 14.7
ATL 13.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.2%
MEM 50.6%
ATL 58.7% +8.1%
TO %
13.5%
15.8%
MEM 12.2%
ATL 9.9% +2.3%
ORB %
20.1%
24.8%
MEM 20.0%
ATL 36.6% +16.6%
FTrt
27.2
25.5
MEM 29.2 +15.6
ATL 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
62.4%
MEM 73.7% +6.4%
ATL 67.3%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
MEM 7.9%
ATL 8.9% +1.0%
BLK %
10.7%
9.2%
MEM 10.3%
ATL 18.4% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.6%
MEM 55.0%
ATL 58.9% +3.9%
Rim FG%
59.9%
59.0%
MEM 57.7%
ATL 68.4% +10.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
37.9%
MEM 39.1%
ATL 45.0% +5.9%
3P %
34.2%
35.2%
MEM 35.0%
ATL 37.8% +2.8%
FT %
77.2%
75.2%
MEM 80.8% +2.2%
ATL 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
39.2%
MEM 29.2%
ATL 36.9% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
20.4%
MEM 25.8%
ATL 19.4% +6.4%
3P Att. %
34.2%
40.3%
MEM 44.9% +1.3%
ATL 43.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMATL
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points111132
Rebounds3551
Assists2835
Steals89
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1726
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)36 (3)
Field Goals38-8952-103
At-the-Rim FG15-2626-38
Midrange FG9-239-20
2-Point FG24-4935-58
3-Point FG14-4017-45
Free Throws21-2611-14
Fast Break Pts831
2nd Chance Pts2120
Points in Paint3662
Pts off Turnovers1623
Bench Points6846
Biggest Lead029

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
25.9
20
67%
4
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
7-8
88%
5-8
63%
1-6
17%
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
24.6
4
29%
5
3
1
0
1
4
2
3
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
19.5
8
44%
0
0
0
1
3
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 28
19.3
5
31%
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 30
18.3
6
50%
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
#6 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
32.6
33
97%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
#2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
29.7
10
38%
3
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
23.9
12
86%
8
5
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#22 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
20.3
8
57%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
15.4
2
25%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#5 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 23
10.5
3
75%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#4 · SF · 6'8" 209 · 27
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Deep Thigh Bruise
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Soreness
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
55%
35
28
8
6
14
17
9
26
21-26
81%
24-49
49%
14-40
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.