FinalWin Prob.pScore
1743%105
74
1357%107
108
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
82.29091.4
MIA logo MIA
118.79189.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.74
0%
108
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
7
20
35%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
DET
12
20
60%
MIA
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
37
22%
32%
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
DET
12
18
67%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin1365%6.5 / 10
W. Ellington1179%5.5 / 7
L. Kennard1063%5.0 / 8
R. Jackson825%4.0 / 16
T. Maker840%4.0 / 10
G. Robinson III675%3.0 / 4
A. Drummond550%2.5 / 5
I. Smith433%2.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia450%2.0 / 4
L. Galloway330%1.5 / 5
K. Thomas220%1.0 / 5
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1689%8.0 / 9
D. Waiters1454%7.0 / 13
J. Richardson1372%6.5 / 9
H. Whiteside1359%6.5 / 11
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
B. Adebayo10125%5.0 / 4
G. Dragic1063%5.0 / 8
K. Olynyk975%4.5 / 6
D. Jones850%4.0 / 8
R. McGruder225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+17
-17
90
MIA
80
+15
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.5
DET 82.2 +36.5
MIA 118.7
Pace
97.3
98.1
DET 91.4 +1.8
MIA 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.0
DET 15.8 +0.3
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.5%
DET 40.3%
MIA 53.0% +12.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
DET 17.5%
MIA 10.4% +7.1%
ORB %
24.9%
24.8%
DET 20.8%
MIA 32.5% +11.7%
FTrt
26.1
24.7
DET 23.4
MIA 28.6 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
61.2%
DET 74.1% +17.7%
MIA 56.4%
STL %
7.1%
7.8%
DET 7.8%
MIA 11.0% +3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
10.2%
DET 12.5%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.9%
DET 41.6%
MIA 56.8% +15.2%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.8%
DET 35.0%
MIA 60.6% +25.6%
Mid FG%
38.4%
36.8%
DET 60.0% +25.2%
MIA 34.8%
3P %
34.8%
34.9%
DET 21.6%
MIA 39.3% +17.7%
FT %
74.7%
69.5%
DET 66.7%
MIA 79.2% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.3%
DET 26.0%
MIA 39.3% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
25.9%
DET 26.0% +1.4%
MIA 27.4%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.8%
DET 48.1% +14.7%
MIA 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points74108
Rebounds3751
Assists2022
Steals710
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)38 (0)
Field Goals27-7739-84
At-the-Rim FG7-2020-33
Midrange FG12-208-23
2-Point FG19-4028-56
3-Point FG8-3711-28
Free Throws12-1819-24
Fast Break Pts910
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint3050
Pts off Turnovers720
Bench Points3746
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
30.0
13
65%
4
3
1
1
3
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
25.3
11
79%
1
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
24.0
5
50%
9
0
0
2
5
6
4
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
23.6
8
25%
1
3
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-6
0%
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
9.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
28.8
10
63%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.7
3
30%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
18.6
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
17.9
8
40%
6
0
0
2
0
0
1
5
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
16.1
6
75%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
13.9
4
50%
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
5.8
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
5.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
42%
37
20
7
7
17
23
10
27
12-18
67%
19-40
48%
8-37
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.