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All Games Tuesday, March 12, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Timberwolves
28%111
107
7
Nuggets
72%119
133
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
113.89498.4
DEN logo DEN
138.59691.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
133
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.09 54.6%
DEN
1.41 70.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
22
34
65%
DEN
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIN
8
25
32%
DEN
12
22
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
DEN
18
27.0
30
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIN
14
14
100%
DEN
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns3471%17.0 / 24
T. Jones16100%8.0 / 8
C. Reynolds1286%6.0 / 7
C. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
K. Bates-Diop938%4.5 / 12
D. Šarić964%4.5 / 7
T. Gibson857%4.0 / 7
J. Bayless425%2.0 / 8
G. Dieng467%2.0 / 3
J. Okogie0-0.0 / 4
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3083%15.0 / 18
P. Millsap2382%11.5 / 14
N. Jokić1869%9.0 / 13
M. Morris16100%8.0 / 8
G. Harris1275%6.0 / 8
M. Plumlee758%3.5 / 6
W. Barton630%3.0 / 10
T. Craig6100%3.0 / 3
M. Beasley563%2.5 / 4
T. Welsh4200%2.0 / 1
J. Hernangomez3150%1.5 / 1
J. Vanderbilt375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
80
+16
-14
96
DEN
82
+13
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.09 54.6%
DEN
1.41 70.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
112.6
MIN 113.8
DEN 138.5 +24.7
Pace
100.2
98.0
MIN 98.4 +6.5
DEN 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.7
MIN 14.6 +1.0
DEN 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
52.7%
MIN 52.2%
DEN 70.6% +18.4%
TO %
12.5%
13.1%
MIN 13.6%
DEN 13.3% +0.3%
ORB %
24.7%
26.6%
MIN 29.3% +6.0%
DEN 23.3%
FTrt
26.6
23.2
MIN 15.7
DEN 17.6 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
65.3%
MIN 58.5%
DEN 78.4% +19.9%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
MIN 10.6% +4.3%
DEN 6.3%
BLK %
8.9%
8.2%
MIN 10.9% +0.7%
DEN 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.5%
MIN 54.6%
DEN 70.7% +16.1%
Rim FG%
60.0%
59.6%
MIN 64.7% +1.1%
DEN 63.6%
Mid FG%
39.7%
43.3%
MIN 32.0%
DEN 54.5% +22.5%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
MIN 36.7%
DEN 60.0% +23.3%
FT %
78.7%
75.5%
MIN 100.0% +13.3%
DEN 86.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
37.5%
MIN 38.2%
DEN 38.8% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
27.7%
MIN 28.1%
DEN 25.9% +2.2%
3P Att. %
31.5%
34.8%
MIN 33.7%
DEN 35.3% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINDEN
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points107133
Rebounds3536
Assists2440
Steals106
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (0)
Fouls2016
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (0)29 (2)
Field Goals41-8951-85
At-the-Rim FG22-3421-33
Midrange FG8-2512-22
2-Point FG30-5933-55
3-Point FG11-3018-30
Free Throws14-1413-15
Fast Break Pts106
2nd Chance Pts819
Points in Paint5054
Pts off Turnovers1820
Bench Points3944
Biggest Lead226

BOXSCORE

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21 Minnesota Timberwolves
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Keita Bates-Diop
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 23
33.2
9
38%
5
4
0
1
2
1
4
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
32.0
34
71%
10
3
0
3
4
3
3
7
4-4
100%
12-19
63%
2-6
33%
Tyus Jones
#1 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 23
26.6
16
100%
2
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
Josh Okogie
#20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 21
23.3
0
0%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Dario Saric
#36 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 25
19.2
9
64%
4
1
2
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Cameron Reynolds
#13 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 24
25.4
12
86%
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-7
57%
Jerryd Bayless
#8 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 31
21.5
4
25%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34
20.8
8
57%
4
0
1
1
1
3
3
1
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C.J. Williams
#12 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 29
18.0
11
79%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
#43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34
15.6
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
#5 · C · 6'11" 251 · 29
4.4
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Andrew Wiggins
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Quad Contusion
Derrick Rose
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
DNP - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Elbow
Luol Deng
#9 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Left Achilles
Robert Covington
#33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Bone Bruise
Jeff Teague
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Inflammation
Jared Terrell
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
35
24
10
6
14
20
12
23
14-14
100%
30-59
51%
11-30
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.