FinalWin Prob.pScore
1251%114
112
2249%113
105
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
117.99599.9
DAL logo DAL
110.59590.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
DAL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
8
15
53%
DAL
17
28
61%
Midrange
SAS
27
45
60%
DAL
7
15
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
DAL
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
SAS
18
18
100%
DAL
15
26
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3369%16.5 / 24
L. Aldridge2867%14.0 / 21
D. White2388%11.5 / 13
D. Bertans1179%5.5 / 7
B. Forbes660%3.0 / 5
J. Poeltl4100%2.0 / 2
M. Belinelli429%2.0 / 7
P. Mills330%1.5 / 5
D. Eubanks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brunson34106%17.0 / 16
D. Powell2056%10.0 / 18
L. Dončić1227%6.0 / 22
D. Harris1179%5.5 / 7
T. Hardaway1042%5.0 / 12
D. Finney-Smith880%4.0 / 5
D. Nowitzki880%4.0 / 5
M. Kleber233%1.0 / 3
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
83
+9
-12
92
DAL
81
+12
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
DAL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.2
SAS 117.9 +7.4
DAL 110.5
Pace
98.6
99.1
SAS 99.9 +9.3
DAL 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
SAS 14.4 +1.5
DAL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.8%
SAS 57.3% +2.4%
DAL 54.9%
TO %
11.9%
13.6%
SAS 11.8% +1.2%
DAL 13.0%
ORB %
20.9%
22.6%
SAS 19.4%
DAL 22.5% +3.1%
FTrt
23.7
29.1
SAS 22.0
DAL 31.7 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.3%
SAS 60.5% +2.6%
DAL 57.9%
STL %
6.2%
6.5%
SAS 11.6% +10.5%
DAL 1.1%
BLK %
8.3%
7.6%
SAS 7.0% +3.7%
DAL 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.2%
SAS 60.2% +4.3%
DAL 55.9%
Rim FG%
62.7%
62.0%
SAS 53.3%
DAL 60.7% +7.4%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.0%
SAS 60.0% +13.3%
DAL 46.7%
3P %
39.2%
34.0%
SAS 36.4% +0.5%
DAL 35.9%
FT %
81.8%
74.2%
SAS 100.0% +42.3%
DAL 57.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
33.8%
SAS 18.3%
DAL 34.1% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
24.0%
SAS 54.9%
DAL 18.3% +36.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
42.2%
SAS 26.8%
DAL 47.6% +20.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points112105
Rebounds3838
Assists2622
Steals111
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2516
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)29 (2)
Field Goals43-8238-82
At-the-Rim FG8-1517-28
Midrange FG27-457-15
2-Point FG35-6024-43
3-Point FG8-2214-39
Free Throws18-1815-26
Fast Break Pts47
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint3240
Pts off Turnovers812
Bench Points1823
Biggest Lead154

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
38.4
33
69%
4
6
4
0
3
4
0
4
11-11
100%
11-19
58%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
38.2
28
67%
7
3
1
1
4
4
3
4
6-6
100%
11-18
61%
0-1
0%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
32.8
23
88%
3
7
3
0
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
7-11
64%
3-5
60%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
28.9
4
100%
7
3
2
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26
26.9
6
60%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
25.8
11
79%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
23.9
4
29%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
22.1
3
30%
1
3
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
3.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
38
26
11
3
12
25
7
31
18-18
100%
35-60
58%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.