FinalWin Prob.pScore
256%116
114
1444%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
115.299112.5
SAS logo SAS
121.010089.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.114
0%
121
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.6%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
22
33
67%
SAS
14
25
56%
Midrange
MIL
5
18
28%
SAS
23
46
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
SAS
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIL
18
25
72%
SAS
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2764%13.5 / 21
E. Bledsoe2188%10.5 / 12
K. Middleton1550%7.5 / 15
P. Connaughton14140%7.0 / 5
B. Lopez1161%5.5 / 9
N. Mirotic1063%5.0 / 8
T. Snell675%3.0 / 4
M. Brogdon523%2.5 / 11
P. Gasol350%1.5 / 3
D. DiVincenzo220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2956%14.5 / 26
D. DeRozan2861%14.0 / 23
M. Belinelli1667%8.0 / 12
P. Mills1680%8.0 / 10
B. Forbes1286%6.0 / 7
J. Poeltl8133%4.0 / 3
D. White732%3.5 / 11
D. Bertans531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
89
+8
-10
97
SAS
96
+13
-4
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.6%
SAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
112.6
MIL 115.2
SAS 121.0 +5.8
Pace
103.2
98.6
MIL 112.5 +23.2
SAS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
MIL 12.8 +3.3
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.4%
MIL 55.2% +0.2%
SAS 55.0%
TO %
12.8%
11.9%
MIL 9.3%
SAS 4.5% +4.8%
ORB %
20.8%
20.9%
MIL 13.6%
SAS 17.0% +3.4%
FTrt
25.5
23.7
MIL 28.7 +13.7
SAS 15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.0%
MIL 53.7% +4.7%
SAS 49.0%
STL %
7.2%
6.2%
MIL 3.0%
SAS 6.0% +3.0%
BLK %
10.4%
8.3%
MIL 2.8%
SAS 5.9% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
56.0%
MIL 57.6% +2.6%
SAS 55.0%
Rim FG%
64.1%
62.7%
MIL 66.7% +10.7%
SAS 56.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
44.0%
MIL 27.8%
SAS 50.0% +22.2%
3P %
35.2%
39.2%
MIL 38.9%
SAS 41.4% +2.5%
FT %
77.2%
81.8%
MIL 72.0%
SAS 73.3% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
27.8%
MIL 37.9% +12.9%
SAS 25.0%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
43.7%
MIL 20.7% +25.3%
SAS 46.0%
3P Att. %
42.0%
28.6%
MIL 41.4% +12.4%
SAS 29.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points114121
Rebounds4546
Assists2224
Steals36
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)4 (1)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)38 (1)
Field Goals41-8749-100
At-the-Rim FG22-3314-25
Midrange FG5-1823-46
2-Point FG27-5137-71
3-Point FG14-3612-29
Free Throws18-2511-15
Fast Break Pts2013
2nd Chance Pts910
Points in Paint4842
Pts off Turnovers714
Bench Points3537
Biggest Lead1515

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
35.2
27
64%
13
6
0
1
0
2
3
10
6-10
60%
9-14
64%
1-4
25%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
33.4
11
61%
10
0
1
1
1
2
0
10
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
30.9
15
50%
8
4
1
0
3
3
1
7
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
30.5
21
88%
2
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
7-9
78%
2-4
50%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
23.1
5
23%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-4
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
24.6
14
140%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
21.8
10
63%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
#17 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
14.6
3
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
13.4
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
12.5
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
DNP - Injury/Illness | left groin strain
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right wrist soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
58%
45
22
3
2
10
17
6
39
18-25
72%
27-51
53%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.